Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ETSV Hamburg vs Sasel

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ETSV Hamburg in this Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ETSV Hamburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
ETSV Hamburg
15%
Draws
51%
Sasel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sasel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sasel haven't matched ETSV Hamburg's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and ETSV Hamburg have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
ETSV Hamburg Clean Sheet 10%
Sasel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ETSV Hamburg Sasel
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 3.11 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs Sasel
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs ETSV Hamburg
1:1
Apr 21, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs Sasel
2:0
Sep 13, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs ETSV Hamburg
0:5
Feb 4, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs ETSV Hamburg
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ETSV Hamburg 30 / 100
Sasel 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ETSV Hamburg Sasel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sasel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ETSV Hamburg found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (28 games).

Sasel has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

ETSV Hamburg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ETSV Hamburg VS Sasel
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

ETSV Hamburg

(Home)
11 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
Harksheide
28 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
1 : 4
TSV Buchholz 08
21 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
14 Aug
TSV Concordia
1 : 4
ETSV Hamburg
31 Jul
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 1
Teutonia Ottensen
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Sasel

(Away)
13 Sept
Sasel
0 : 3
Niendorfer TSV
06 Sept
Paloma
3 : 2
Sasel
30 Aug
Sasel
3 : 2
Tesla Hamburg
21 Aug
Eintracht Norderstedt II
0 : 3
Sasel
16 Aug
Sasel
3 : 1
Harksheide
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