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ETSV Hamburg vs Vorwarts-Wacker

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 game between ETSV Hamburg and Vorwarts-Wacker finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ETSV Hamburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
ETSV Hamburg
20%
Draws
33%
Vorwarts-Wacker
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ETSV Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ETSV Hamburg come out ahead of Vorwarts-Wacker on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on ETSV Hamburg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and ETSV Hamburg have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
ETSV Hamburg Clean Sheet 20%
Vorwarts-Wacker Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ETSV Hamburg Vorwarts-Wacker
Matches Played 26 24
Wins 17 9
Draws 5 2
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 3.35 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs Vorwarts-Wacker
8:0
Sep 14, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Vorwarts-Wacker vs ETSV Hamburg
0:5
Feb 8, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Vorwarts-Wacker vs ETSV Hamburg
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs Vorwarts-Wacker
9:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ETSV Hamburg 85 / 100
Vorwarts-Wacker 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ETSV Hamburg Vorwarts-Wacker

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETSV Hamburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ETSV Hamburg scored in 96% of their last 26 outings.

Vorwarts-Wacker has conceded goals in 92% of their last 24 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: ETSV Hamburg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ETSV Hamburg VS Vorwarts-Wacker
3 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

ETSV Hamburg

(Home)
21 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
14 Aug
TSV Concordia
1 : 4
ETSV Hamburg
31 Jul
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 1
Teutonia Ottensen
25 Jul
Dassendorf
1 : 1
ETSV Hamburg
15 May
ETSV Hamburg
6 : 2
TSV Buchholz 08
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Vorwarts-Wacker

(Away)
22 Aug
HT 16
5 : 1
Vorwarts-Wacker
14 Aug
Vorwarts-Wacker
2 : 2
Niendorfer TSV
02 Aug
Paloma
1 : 2
Vorwarts-Wacker
26 Jul
Vorwarts-Wacker
1 : 3
Tesla Hamburg
17 Jul
Vorwarts-Wacker
4 : 3
Eimsbutteler
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