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Eupen vs Willem II

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Nuhu I.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Eupen and Willem II finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eupen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Eupen
15%
Draws
37%
Willem II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eupen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Willem II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Eupen a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Eupen Clean Sheet 20%
Willem II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eupen Willem II
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.04 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Eupen vs Willem II
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eupen Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuhu I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Willem II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eupen 85 / 100
Willem II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eupen Willem II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eupen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eupen's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Willem II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Eupen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Eupen VS Willem II
3.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Eupen

(Home)
21 Aug
Sporting Lokeren
2 : 1
Eupen
15 Aug
Eupen
4 : 1
Genk U23
08 Aug
Eupen
1 : 3
RFC Seraing
01 Aug
Venlo
2 : 3
Eupen
29 Jul
Eupen
8 : 0
Aywaille
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Willem II

(Away)
30 Aug
Willem II
2 : 2
Heerenveen
15 Aug
Willem II
1 : 4
Nijmegen
08 Aug
G.A. Eagles
4 : 1
Willem II
01 Aug
Willem II
2 : 1
OFI Crete
25 Jul
Willem II
1 : 0
KV Mechelen
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