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Evans Williams vs Rockspur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Evans Williams at 1.33 goals for, 2 against; Rockspur at 1.33 for, 1.33 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.25, favoring Evans Williams. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Evans Williams
15%
Draws
42%
Rockspur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Evans Williams

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Evans Williams and Rockspur have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Evans Williams Clean Sheet 19%
Rockspur Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Evans Williams Rockspur
Matches Played 3 3
Wins 1 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 2
Goals Scored 1.33 1.33
Goals Conceded 2 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Evans Williams 32 / 100
Rockspur 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Evans Williams Rockspur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rockspur has conceded goals in 100% of their last 3 outings.

Evans Williams scored in 67% of their last 3 games.

Solid form: Evans Williams remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Rockspur has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Evans Williams VS Rockspur
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Evans Williams

(Home)
19 Sept
Afan Lido
3 : 2
Evans Williams
14 Oct
Carmarthen Town
2 : 0
Evans Williams
16 Sept
Mumbles Rangers
1 : 2
Evans Williams

Rockspur

(Away)
14 Oct
South Gower AFC
1 : 0
Rockspur
16 Sept
Rockspur
4 : 2
Afan United
17 Sept
Chepstow Town
1 : 0
Rockspur

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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