Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Everton La Plata vs Provincial - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025
Everton La Plata Logo

Everton La Plata

3 - 0
FT
Provincial Logo

Provincial

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Zuccarelli A.
25' Event
Zuccarelli A.
90'
Rusconi F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Everton La Plata in this Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Everton La Plata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Everton La Plata
20%
Draws
0%
Provincial
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Everton La Plata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Everton La Plata lately — more wins on the board than Provincial.
  • Win probability leans Everton La Plata's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Everton La Plata Clean Sheet 68%
Provincial Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Everton La Plata Provincial
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 0.8 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Everton La Plata vs Provincial
3:0
Aug 27, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Everton La Plata
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Everton La Plata
1:2
May 4, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Everton La Plata vs Provincial
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Everton La Plata Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuccarelli A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Furlan N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Provincial Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Everton La Plata 95 / 100
Provincial 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Everton La Plata Provincial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Everton La Plata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Provincial conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Provincial lost 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Everton La Plata remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Everton La Plata VS Provincial
0.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Everton La Plata

(Home)
07 Sept
Everton La Plata
1 : 0
Academia Control Orientado
31 Aug
Belgrano Zarate
0 : 0
Everton La Plata
23 Aug
Everton La Plata
0 : 3
Uribelarrea
16 Aug
Alumni Los Hornos
0 : 0
Everton La Plata
11 Aug
Everton La Plata
0 : 1
Las Mandarinas
Page 1 of 6

Provincial

(Away)
05 Sept
Provincial
1 : 2
Juventud de Bernal
29 Aug
Nautico Hacoaj
9 : 1
Provincial
22 Aug
Provincial
0 : 4
Defensores de Glew
16 Aug
Atletico Pilar
1 : 0
Provincial
10 Aug
Estrella de Berisso
5 : 0
Provincial
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ezeiza 10 6 2 2 16:5 20
2 Social Atletico Television 10 6 2 2 13:7 20
3 Defensores de Glew 10 5 2 3 23:12 17
4 Belgrano Zarate 10 2 6 2 7:11 12
5 Estrella de Berisso 10 2 1 7 7:16 7
6 Atletico Pilar 10 1 3 6 4:19 6
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Metalurgico 10 6 2 2 14:4 20
2 Barrancas 10 5 3 2 11:12 18
3 Nautico Hacoaj 10 5 2 3 17:6 17
4 Everton La Plata 10 3 2 5 11:10 11
5 Provincial 10 2 3 5 7:20 9
6 Juventud de Bernal 10 2 2 6 9:17 8
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 (Play Offs)