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Everton U21 vs AC Milan U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Premier League International Cup Goodison Park, Liverpool
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Colombo F.
57' Event
Graham B.
77' Event
Ossola L.
Assist: Castiello A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Everton U21
15%
Draws
46%
AC Milan U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AC Milan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AC Milan U23 come out ahead of Everton U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Everton U21 a 39% chance of winning this.
  • AC Milan U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AC Milan U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Everton U21 Clean Sheet 13%
AC Milan U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Everton U21 AC Milan U23
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.69 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Premier League International Cup
Everton U21 vs AC Milan U23
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Everton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Graham B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

AC Milan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Colombo F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ossola L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Everton U21 48 / 100
AC Milan U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Everton U21 AC Milan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Everton U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Milan U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Attacking prowess: Everton U21 scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Everton U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Everton U21 VS AC Milan U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Everton U21

(Home)
23 Sept
Boreham Wood
1 : 2
Everton U21
19 Sept
Reading U21
0 : 0
Everton U21
13 Sept
Brentford U21
0 : 2
Everton U21
08 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Everton U21
02 Sept
Everton U21
1 : 2
AC Milan U23
Page 1 of 6

AC Milan U23

(Away)
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2
AC Milan U23
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1
Brusaporto
12 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 0
AC Milan U23
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3
Caldiero Terme
02 Sept
Everton U21
1 : 2
AC Milan U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 West Ham U21 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Genk U21 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Monaco II 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Manchester United U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Southampton U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Juventus U21 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
8 Valencia B 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 B. Monchengladbach II 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 AC Milan U23 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Nordsjaelland U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Manchester City U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
7 Dinamo Zagreb 2 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
8 Stoke City U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brondby U21 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Dortmund II 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Sporting CP B 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
4 Real Sociedad B 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
5 Aston Villa U21 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
6 Nottingham U21 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
7 Fulham U21 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
8 Leicester U21 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crystal Palace U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Brighton U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Jong PSV 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Sunderland U21 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Ipswich U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Anderlecht 2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 FC Porto U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 PSG U21 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup (Play Offs)