Sport Picks
Everton vs Bournemouth
England
Premier League 2025/2026 Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool 
Match Events
42'
42'
Ndiaye I.
(Penalty)
57'
57'
Rayan
58'
58'
Sub
Evanilson In: Kroupi E. J.
Out: Evanilson
AI Match Summary
Bournemouth in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bournemouth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Not much separates Everton and Bournemouth on recent form.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Bournemouth here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Everton Clean Sheet 11%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Everton | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 14 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 10, 2026 Premier League
Everton vs Bournemouth
1:2
Dec 2, 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Everton
0:1
Jul 26, 2025 Premier League Summer Series
Everton vs Bournemouth
0:3
Feb 8, 2025 FA Cup
Everton vs Bournemouth
0:2
Jan 4, 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Everton
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Everton Compare
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Bournemouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Rayan
1 Goals Assists Leader Adli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Everton 30 / 100
Bournemouth 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Everton Bournemouth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Everton scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Bournemouth has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Everton stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Everton VS Bournemouth
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Everton
(Home) 28 Jul
Stoke City
1 : 0 Everton
25 Jul
Bolton
0 : 0 Everton
18 Jul
Dundee FC
0 : 4 Everton
24 May
Tottenham
1 : 0 Everton
17 May
Everton
1 : 3 Sunderland
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Everton
1 : 3 Sunderland
04 May
Everton
3 : 3 Manchester City
19 Apr
Everton
1 : 2 Liverpool
21 Mar
Everton
3 : 0 Chelsea
03 Mar
Everton
2 : 0 Burnley
Page 1 of 3
Bournemouth
(Away) 24 Jul
Bournemouth
4 : 1 St. Pauli
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Bournemouth
19 May
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Manchester City
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1 Bournemouth
03 May
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Bournemouth
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1 Bournemouth
18 Apr
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Bournemouth
11 Apr
Arsenal
1 : 2 Bournemouth
14 Mar
Burnley
0 : 0 Bournemouth
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
