Sport Picks

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Everton vs Copiapo

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Sausalito
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Everton play Copiapo in the Copa Chile. It looks like a close match. Recently, Everton averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Copiapo averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Everton won 4, Copiapo won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 26, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Everton and 1.38 for Copiapo. This points to a Everton double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Everton
19%
Draws
39%
Copiapo
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Everton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Everton picked up more points recently compared to Copiapo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Everton Clean Sheet 17%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Everton Copiapo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Copa Chile
Everton vs Copiapo
3:0
Oct 20, 2024 Liga de Primera
Copiapo vs Everton
3:5
May 18, 2024 Liga de Primera
Everton vs Copiapo
1:0
Dec 9, 2023 Liga de Primera
Copiapo vs Everton
2:0
May 20, 2023 Liga de Primera
Everton vs Copiapo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Everton Compare

Top Goalscorer Montiel N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Copiapo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Everton 41 / 100
Copiapo 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Everton Copiapo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Everton or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Everton attacking → ← attacking Copiapo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Everton scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Copiapo let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Everton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Copiapo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 42
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Coquimbo42206:28
2Deportes Iquique42118:47
3Limache41216:75
4San Marcos de Arica40131:81
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1U. Catolica440012:412
2Everton41127:74
3Copiapo41122:74
4San Luis40225:82
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Antofagasta43107:310
2La Serena42115:57
3Cobreloa41124:44
4Cobresal40130:41
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1U. De Chile42119:57
2Union La Calera42118:57
3San Felipe42025:66
4S. Wanderers41035:113
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colo Colo33009:29
2U. Espanola41123:64
3Recoleta41123:64
4O Higgins30214:52
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nublense43016:39
2Curico Unido42115:47
3Rangers42024:46
4U. De Concepcion40135:91
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Deportes Santa Cruz43107:210
2A. Italiano43017:59
3Palestino41127:64
4Magallanes40044:120
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1D. Puerto Montt42116:37
2D. Concepcion42116:67
3Deportes Temuco41214:55
4Huachipato41035:73