Sport Picks

Chile

Copa de la Liga Estadio Sausalito

Limache

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This Copa de la Liga encounter between Everton and Limache promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Everton averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in recent matches. Limache shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Everton, 1 wins for Limache, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 07.06.26 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.06 for Everton and 1.25 for Limache, suggesting the primary value lies in the Everton double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Everton

29%

Draws

34%

Limache

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Everton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Everton picked up more points recently compared to Limache.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Everton Clean Sheet 19%

Limache Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Everton	Limache
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	10	10
Draws	6	8
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	1.38	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

07.06.26 Copa de la Liga

Limache vs Everton

Possession: 40% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

31.03.26 Copa de la Liga

Everton vs Limache

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 4 - 2

1:2

07.03.26 Liga de Primera

Everton vs Limache

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

18.07.25 Liga de Primera

Everton vs Limache

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

16.02.25 Liga de Primera

Limache vs Everton

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Everton

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Limache

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Everton Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader N/A

0 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Limache Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Montecinos J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Everton 37 / 100

Limache 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Everton Limache

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Everton or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Everton 41%

Limache 27%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Everton 35%

Limache 36%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Everton 37%

Limache 34%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Everton 39%

Limache 32%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Everton 33%

Limache 37%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Everton 43%

Limache 39%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Everton attacking → ← attacking Limache

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Everton have found the net in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Limache have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.40 goals per match.

Everton remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Limache suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 38

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coquimbo	6	4	2	0	9:5	14
2	Colo Colo	6	3	1	2	8:5	10
3	Huachipato	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
4	D. Concepcion	6	0	1	5	6:13	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nublense	6	4	2	0	9:3	14
2	U. Catolica	6	3	2	1	13:7	11
3	U. De Concepcion	6	1	1	4	7:11	4
4	Cobresal	6	1	1	4	6:14	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	O Higgins	6	4	2	0	11:6	14
2	Everton	6	2	1	3	8:9	7
3	Limache	6	1	3	2	7:8	6
4	Palestino	6	1	2	3	9:12	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Union La Calera	6	4	1	1	7:3	13
2	A. Italiano	6	3	2	1	12:9	11
3	U. De Chile	6	2	2	2	12:7	8
4	La Serena	6	0	1	5	6:18	1