Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Sausalito, Vina del Mar

Everton

1 - 3

U. Catolica

Our Tip

Match Events

Arancibia S.

Assist: Giani J.

17'

Vega V.

19'

Zampedri F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Everton

20%

Draws

47%

U. Catolica

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to U. Catolica lately — more wins on the board than Everton.
Model gives Everton a 33% chance of winning this.
U. Catolica arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor U. Catolica, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors U. Catolica here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Everton Clean Sheet 19%

U. Catolica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Everton	U. Catolica
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	12	17
Draws	9	6
Losses	10	7
Goals Scored	1.55	1.83
Goals Conceded	1.19	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga de Primera

Everton vs U. Catolica

0:1

Jul 1, 2026 Copa Chile

U. Catolica vs Everton

2:1

Jun 24, 2026 Copa Chile

Everton vs U. Catolica

1:3

Mar 14, 2026 Liga de Primera

U. Catolica vs Everton

2:2

Oct 19, 2025 Liga de Primera

Everton vs U. Catolica

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Everton Compare

Top Goalscorer Magallanes H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Arancibia S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Corral D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Everton 40 / 100

U. Catolica 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Everton U. Catolica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Everton Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Everton's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

U. Catolica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Everton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Everton VS U. Catolica

2.25 Goals Scored 1.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Everton

(Home)

27 Sept

U. De Chile

1 : 1

Everton

27 Sept

Everton

0 : 1

U. De Chile

12 Sept

Nublense

1 : 3

Everton

05 Sept

Everton

0 : 1

U. Catolica

29 Aug

Limache

0 : 3

Everton

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U. Catolica

(Away)

26 Sept

U. Catolica

0 : 1

Union La Calera

23 Sept

Union La Calera

1 : 1

U. Catolica

12 Sept

Palestino

2 : 3

U. Catolica

05 Sept

Everton

0 : 1

U. Catolica

01 Sept

U. Catolica

3 : 2

O Higgins

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