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Everton W vs Leicester W

England England

WSL 2025/2026 Goodison Park, Liverpool
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Tierney S.
46'
Sub
van Egmond E. In: Rantala J.
Out: van Egmond E.
59'
Sub
Galli A. In: Wheeler C.
Out: Galli A.

AI Match Summary

Everton W in this WSL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Everton W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Everton W
15%
Draws
17%
Leicester W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Everton W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Everton W lately — more wins on the board than Leicester W.
  • Win probability leans Everton W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular WSL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Everton W Clean Sheet 20%
Leicester W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Everton W Leicester W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 2 3
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.3 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 WSL
Everton W vs Leicester W
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 WSL
Leicester W vs Everton W
1:1
Feb 2, 2025 WSL
Everton W vs Leicester W
4:1
Oct 20, 2024 WSL
Leicester W vs Everton W
1:0
Jan 28, 2024 WSL
Everton W vs Leicester W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Everton W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacheco M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Leicester W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Everton W 85 / 100
Leicester W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Everton W Leicester W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Everton W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Everton W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Leicester W conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Everton W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Everton W VS Leicester W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
13% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Everton W

(Home)
04 Oct
Everton W
2 : 1
Birmingham W
27 Sept
Liverpool W
2 : 0
Everton W
23 Sept
Everton W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
20 Sept
West Ham W
0 : 1
Everton W
13 Sept
Everton W
1 : 0
Charlton W
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Leicester W

(Away)
04 Oct
Sunderland W
3 : 1
Leicester W
27 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 0
Leicester W
23 Sept
Leicester W
0 : 2
London City Lionesses W
20 Sept
Leicester W
0 : 1
Ipswich W
13 Sept
Leicester W
4 : 2
Durham W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 22 18 1 3 62:19 55
2 Arsenal W 22 15 6 1 53:14 51
3 Chelsea W 22 15 4 3 44:20 49
4 Manchester United W 22 11 7 4 38:22 40
5 Tottenham W 22 11 3 8 35:38 36
6 London City Lionesses W 22 8 3 11 28:35 27
7 Brighton W 22 7 5 10 27:28 26
8 Everton W 22 7 2 13 25:37 23
9 Aston Villa W 22 5 5 12 28:48 20
10 West Ham W 22 5 4 13 20:45 19
11 Liverpool W 22 4 5 13 21:34 17
12 Leicester W 22 2 3 17 11:52 9
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - Third stage)
Relegation - WSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)