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Everton W vs Newcastle Utd W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's League Cup Goodison Park, Liverpool
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Newcastle Utd W have shipped 1.06 goals a game lately, while Everton W have conceded 1.3 and scored 1.3. Head-to-head, Everton W have won 3 to Newcastle Utd W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.00, favoring Everton W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Everton W
15%
Draws
42%
Newcastle Utd W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Everton W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Everton W haven't matched Newcastle Utd W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Newcastle Utd W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Newcastle Utd W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Everton W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Everton W Clean Sheet 20%
Newcastle Utd W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Everton W Newcastle Utd W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 16
Draws 2 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Newcastle Utd W vs Everton W
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Women's League Cup
Newcastle Utd W vs Everton W
1:3
Oct 2, 2024 Women's League Cup
Newcastle Utd W vs Everton W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Everton W 12 / 100
Newcastle Utd W 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Everton W Newcastle Utd W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Utd W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Everton W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Newcastle Utd W let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Solid form: Everton W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Everton W VS Newcastle Utd W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
13% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Everton W

(Home)
04 Oct
Everton W
2 : 1
Birmingham W
27 Sept
Liverpool W
2 : 0
Everton W
23 Sept
Everton W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
20 Sept
West Ham W
0 : 1
Everton W
13 Sept
Everton W
1 : 0
Charlton W
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Newcastle Utd W

(Away)
04 Oct
Durham W
0 : 3
Newcastle Utd W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1
Newcastle Utd W
27 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 0
Leicester W
20 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 1
Sheffield Utd W
12 Sept
Bristol City W
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester United W 2 2 0 0 15:2 6
2 Aston Villa W 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Crystal Palace W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Liverpool W 2 2 0 0 8:5 6
5 London City Lionesses W 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
6 West Ham W 2 2 0 0 3:1 5
7 Tottenham W 2 1 0 1 1:0 4
8 Brighton W 2 1 0 1 4:1 3
9 Everton W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bristol City W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Burnley W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Wolverhampton W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Watford W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Ipswich W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Sunderland W 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
16 Newcastle Utd W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
17 Southampton FC W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18 Nottingham W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
19 Leicester W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
20 Birmingham W 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
21 Durham W 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
22 Charlton W 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
23 Sheffield Utd W 1 0 0 1 1:10 0
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