Sport Picks

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Evesham vs Caerau Ely

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Liggett B.
83' Event
Liggett B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Evesham and Caerau Ely finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Evesham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Evesham
15%
Draws
48%
Caerau Ely
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caerau Ely

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Caerau Ely carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Evesham taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Evesham Clean Sheet 13%
Caerau Ely Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Evesham Caerau Ely
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.11 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Evesham vs Caerau Ely
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Evesham Compare

Top Goalscorer Liggett B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Caerau Ely Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Evesham 39 / 100
Caerau Ely 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Evesham Caerau Ely

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Evesham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Evesham scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Caerau Ely's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 25 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Evesham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Evesham VS Caerau Ely
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Evesham

(Home)
19 Sept
Redditch
3 : 0
Evesham
12 Sept
Evesham
0 : 0
Berkhamsted Town
05 Sept
Belper Town
0 : 3
Evesham
31 Aug
Gloucester City
1 : 2
Evesham
29 Aug
Evesham
1 : 3
Plymouth Parkway
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Caerau Ely

(Away)
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Treowen
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1
Caerau Ely
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5
Pure Swansea
14 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 4
Caerau Ely
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