Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Evesham vs Caerau Ely

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Liggett B.
83' Event
Liggett B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Evesham and Caerau Ely finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Evesham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Evesham
30%
Draws
16%
Caerau Ely
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Evesham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Medium Confidence
  • Caerau Ely carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Evesham taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Evesham Clean Sheet 20%
Caerau Ely Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Evesham Caerau Ely
Matches Played 27 33
Wins 7 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Evesham vs Caerau Ely
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Evesham Compare

Top Goalscorer Liggett B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Caerau Ely Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Evesham 42 / 100
Caerau Ely 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Evesham Caerau Ely

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Evesham scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Evesham has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Caerau Ely's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Evesham VS Caerau Ely
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Evesham

(Home)
31 Jul
Evesham
1 : 1
Bishops Cleeve
18 Jul
Evesham
0 : 3
Cheltenham
14 Jul
Evesham
1 : 0
Worcester
11 Jul
Evesham
2 : 0
Caerau Ely
07 Jul
Evesham
1 : 2
Redditch
Page 1 of 6

Caerau Ely

(Away)
07 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 1
Ynyshir Albions
01 Aug
Carmarthen Town
4 : 3
Caerau Ely
25 Jul
Caerau Ely
4 : 4
Barnstaple Town
21 Jul
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Caerau Ely
11 Jul
Evesham
2 : 0
Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 7