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Evosmou vs Asteras Karditsa

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Evosmou and Asteras Karditsa finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asteras Karditsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Evosmou
20%
Draws
70%
Asteras Karditsa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Asteras Karditsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Asteras Karditsa come out ahead of Evosmou on wins alone.
  • Model gives Asteras Karditsa a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Asteras Karditsa have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Evosmou Clean Sheet 10%
Asteras Karditsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Evosmou Asteras Karditsa
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 2 7
Draws 3 7
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 0.77 1.22
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Asteras Karditsa vs Evosmou
2:0
Feb 7, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Evosmou vs Asteras Karditsa
0:4
Nov 9, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Asteras Karditsa vs Evosmou
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Evosmou 14 / 100
Asteras Karditsa 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Evosmou Asteras Karditsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asteras Karditsa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Asteras Karditsa conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Evosmou scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Evosmou has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Evosmou VS Asteras Karditsa
0.25 Goals Scored 1.63
3.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Evosmou

(Home)
08 Apr
Evosmou
0 : 3
Eordaikos
05 Apr
Evosmou
2 : 2
Akrites Sykeon
01 Apr
Sarakinos Volos
2 : 0
Evosmou
28 Mar
Asteras Karditsa
2 : 0
Evosmou
22 Mar
Evosmou
0 : 5
Kozani FC
Page 1 of 6

Asteras Karditsa

(Away)
08 Apr
Asteras Karditsa
2 : 0
Akrites Sykeon
05 Apr
Kozani FC
2 : 0
Asteras Karditsa
01 Apr
Asteras Karditsa
0 : 0
Eordaikos
28 Mar
Asteras Karditsa
2 : 0
Evosmou
22 Mar
Sarakinos Volos
6 : 1
Asteras Karditsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 22 17 4 1 47:6 55
2 Ethnikos Neou 22 14 6 2 49:24 48
3 Veria 22 12 4 6 32:19 40
4 Ermis Exochis 22 10 5 7 36:30 35
5 Pierikos 22 9 3 10 22:23 30
6 Philippos Alexandreia 22 8 5 9 26:31 29
7 Akrites Sykeon 22 8 5 9 29:24 29
8 Eordaikos 22 8 4 10 25:27 28
9 Kozani FC 22 6 8 8 17:22 26
10 Sarakinos Volos 22 8 2 12 27:38 26
11 Asteras Karditsa 22 5 6 11 28:43 21
12 Evosmou 22 0 2 20 13:64 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Losers stage)