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Evosmou vs Ermis Exochis

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026
Evosmou Logo

Evosmou

1 - 3
FT
Ermis Exochis Logo

Ermis Exochis

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Evosmou and Ermis Exochis finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ermis Exochis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Evosmou
30%
Draws
62%
Ermis Exochis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ermis Exochis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Evosmou haven't matched Ermis Exochis's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ermis Exochis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Evosmou Clean Sheet 10%
Ermis Exochis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Evosmou Ermis Exochis
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 2 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 25 9
Goals Scored 0.77 1.54
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Evosmou vs Ermis Exochis
1:3
Sep 21, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ermis Exochis vs Evosmou
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Evosmou 10 / 100
Ermis Exochis 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Evosmou Ermis Exochis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Exochis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ermis Exochis let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Evosmou found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Evosmou went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Evosmou VS Ermis Exochis
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Evosmou

(Home)
08 Apr
Evosmou
0 : 3
Eordaikos
05 Apr
Evosmou
2 : 2
Akrites Sykeon
01 Apr
Sarakinos Volos
2 : 0
Evosmou
28 Mar
Asteras Karditsa
2 : 0
Evosmou
22 Mar
Evosmou
0 : 5
Kozani FC
Page 1 of 6

Ermis Exochis

(Away)
26 Sept
Anthoupoli
1 : 1
Ermis Exochis
08 Apr
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
05 Apr
Apollon Kalamaria
2 : 0
Ermis Exochis
01 Apr
Ermis Exochis
2 : 2
Veria
28 Mar
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Pierikos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 22 17 4 1 47:6 55
2 Ethnikos Neou 22 14 6 2 49:24 48
3 Veria 22 12 4 6 32:19 40
4 Ermis Exochis 22 10 5 7 36:30 35
5 Pierikos 22 9 3 10 22:23 30
6 Philippos Alexandreia 22 8 5 9 26:31 29
7 Akrites Sykeon 22 8 5 9 29:24 29
8 Eordaikos 22 8 4 10 25:27 28
9 Kozani FC 22 6 8 8 17:22 26
10 Sarakinos Volos 22 8 2 12 27:38 26
11 Asteras Karditsa 22 5 6 11 28:43 21
12 Evosmou 22 0 2 20 13:64 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Losers stage)