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Evosmou vs Philippos Alexandreia

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Evosmou and Philippos Alexandreia finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Philippos Alexandreia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Evosmou
15%
Draws
64%
Philippos Alexandreia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philippos Alexandreia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Evosmou haven't matched Philippos Alexandreia's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Philippos Alexandreia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Evosmou Clean Sheet 10%
Philippos Alexandreia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Evosmou Philippos Alexandreia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 0.77 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Philippos Alexandreia vs Evosmou
3:0
Nov 23, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Evosmou vs Philippos Alexandreia
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Evosmou 14 / 100
Philippos Alexandreia 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Evosmou Philippos Alexandreia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Philippos Alexandreia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Philippos Alexandreia conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Philippos Alexandreia registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Evosmou scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Evosmou VS Philippos Alexandreia
0.25 Goals Scored 0.88
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Evosmou

(Home)
08 Apr
Evosmou
0 : 3
Eordaikos
05 Apr
Evosmou
2 : 2
Akrites Sykeon
01 Apr
Sarakinos Volos
2 : 0
Evosmou
28 Mar
Asteras Karditsa
2 : 0
Evosmou
22 Mar
Evosmou
0 : 5
Kozani FC
Page 1 of 6

Philippos Alexandreia

(Away)
08 Apr
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
05 Apr
Pierikos
1 : 2
Philippos Alexandreia
01 Apr
Philippos Alexandreia
0 : 3
Apollon Kalamaria
28 Mar
Philippos Alexandreia
1 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
22 Mar
Veria
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 22 17 4 1 47:6 55
2 Ethnikos Neou 22 14 6 2 49:24 48
3 Veria 22 12 4 6 32:19 40
4 Ermis Exochis 22 10 5 7 36:30 35
5 Pierikos 22 9 3 10 22:23 30
6 Philippos Alexandreia 22 8 5 9 26:31 29
7 Akrites Sykeon 22 8 5 9 29:24 29
8 Eordaikos 22 8 4 10 25:27 28
9 Kozani FC 22 6 8 8 17:22 26
10 Sarakinos Volos 22 8 2 12 27:38 26
11 Asteras Karditsa 22 5 6 11 28:43 21
12 Evosmou 22 0 2 20 13:64 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Losers stage)