Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EVV vs Hoogland

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Keulen S.
68' Event
Keulen S.
80' Event
Kersten H.

AI Match Summary

EVV in this Derde Divisie 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored EVV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
EVV
30%
Draws
47%
Hoogland
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hoogland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hoogland lately — more wins on the board than EVV.
  • Model gives Hoogland a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
EVV Clean Sheet 12%
Hoogland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EVV Hoogland
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.41 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2022 Derde Divisie
EVV vs Hoogland
2:1
Sep 19, 2021 Derde Divisie
Hoogland vs EVV
0:0
Jan 31, 2021 Derde Divisie
EVV vs Hoogland
0:0
Nov 8, 2020 Derde Divisie
Hoogland vs EVV
0:0
Jan 26, 2020 Derde Divisie
Hoogland vs EVV
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EVV Compare

Top Goalscorer Keulen S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Hoogland Compare

Top Goalscorer Kersten H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EVV 27 / 100
Hoogland 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EVV Hoogland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hoogland Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hoogland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

EVV's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

EVV went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

EVV VS Hoogland
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 4
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

EVV

(Home)
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1
EVV
22 Sept
EVV
3 : 1
RKSV Halsteren
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1
Groene Ster
13 Sept
RKSV UDI 19
4 : 1
EVV
05 Sept
EVV
0 : 1
SV Poortugaal
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Hoogland

(Away)
19 Jun
OJC Rosmalen
4 : 2
Hoogland
16 Jun
Hoogland
2 : 1
OJC Rosmalen
12 Jun
Hoogland
5 : 2
VV Hoogeveen
09 Jun
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 0
Hoogland
06 Jun
Hoogland
2 : 1
GVV Unitas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lisse 34 21 7 6 70:38 70
2 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 7 8 65:38 64
3 Sportlust 34 17 7 10 63:40 58
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 18 4 12 61:41 58
5 HSV Hoek 34 16 7 11 53:49 55
6 ACV Assen 34 14 9 11 50:42 51
7 Excelsior 31 34 14 9 11 53:47 51
8 Barendrecht 34 13 11 10 72:57 50
9 SteDoCo 34 12 9 13 49:48 45
10 Staphorst 34 13 6 15 54:56 45
11 Ter Leede 34 13 5 16 49:67 44
12 Harkemase Boys 34 10 12 12 63:62 42
13 VV DOVO 34 10 8 16 43:57 38
14 VVSB 34 10 8 16 50:66 38
15 ODIN '59 34 9 10 15 52:68 37
16 VVOG 34 10 7 17 61:82 37
17 Ajax (Am) 34 10 6 18 38:54 36
18 GOES 34 6 10 18 44:78 28
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OFC Oostzaan 34 18 7 9 66:47 61
2 USV Hercules 34 18 5 11 74:46 59
3 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 7 10 64:46 58
4 Gemert 34 15 12 7 75:57 57
5 FC OSS '20 34 16 8 10 62:46 56
6 Groene Ster 34 14 9 11 48:50 51
7 Dongen 34 13 11 10 56:47 50
8 UNA 34 15 5 14 60:58 50
9 HSC '21 34 15 4 15 63:52 49
10 HV & CV Quick 34 14 5 15 47:44 47
11 Blauw Geel 34 13 6 15 55:56 45
12 DEM 34 13 6 15 37:50 45
13 GVV Unitas 34 12 6 16 41:59 42
14 Watergraafsmeer 34 12 6 16 59:69 40
15 Hoogland 34 11 6 17 42:64 39
16 EVV 34 9 10 15 36:59 37
17 HVV Hollandia 34 10 5 19 38:55 35
18 Westlandia 34 8 8 18 43:61 32
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)