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EVV vs Jong Den Haag

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2019/2020
Sun, May 24, 2020
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EVV host Jong Den Haag in the Derde Divisie 2019/2020. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. EVV have averaged 1.38 scored and 2.34 conceded recently, against Jong Den Haag's 2 scored and 1.53 conceded. Past meetings favor Jong Den Haag slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.00) point toward Jong Den Haag. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
EVV
15%
Draws
39%
Jong Den Haag
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EVV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jong Den Haag come out ahead of EVV on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jong Den Haag a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
EVV Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Den Haag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EVV Jong Den Haag
Matches Played 29 19
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2020 Derde Divisie
EVV vs Jong Den Haag
0:0
Jan 11, 2020 Derde Divisie
Jong Den Haag vs EVV
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EVV 28 / 100
Jong Den Haag 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EVV Jong Den Haag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Den Haag Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Den Haag's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 19 matches.

EVV's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

EVV has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

EVV VS Jong Den Haag
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

EVV

(Home)
22 Sept
EVV
3 : 1
RKSV Halsteren
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1
Groene Ster
13 Sept
RKSV UDI 19
4 : 1
EVV
05 Sept
EVV
0 : 1
SV Poortugaal
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3
EVV
Page 1 of 6

Jong Den Haag

(Away)
02 Aug
Katwijk
1 : 0
Jong Den Haag
12 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1
Jong Den Haag
22 Nov
Jong Den Haag
7 : 0
Jong Maastricht
18 Oct
Jong Den Haag
4 : 2
Jong Sittard
07 Oct
Jong Den Haag
0 : 1
Jong Willem II
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sparta Nijkerk 22 17 1 4 58:27 52
2 ODIN '59 22 15 2 5 63:30 47
3 Harkemase Boys 22 13 3 6 43:34 42
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 23 13 3 7 39:30 42
5 Lisse 23 11 5 7 44:33 38
6 HSV Hoek 23 10 4 9 54:42 34
7 Barendrecht 23 10 4 9 37:38 34
8 Excelsior 31 23 9 4 10 50:40 31
9 Jong Almere City 23 9 4 10 54:48 31
10 Ajax (Am) 22 9 4 9 31:38 31
11 GOES 23 9 4 10 33:44 31
12 VVSB 22 8 4 10 47:48 28
13 SteDoCo 22 7 7 8 41:42 28
14 Ter Leede 23 7 6 10 36:53 27
15 VV DOVO 23 6 4 13 45:55 22
16 ONS Sneek 23 2 6 15 32:72 12
17 VVOG 22 2 5 15 26:59 11
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC OSS '20 22 16 5 1 55:24 53
2 Jong Den Haag 22 12 3 7 47:36 39
3 OFC Oostzaan 22 11 3 8 38:27 36
4 Gemert 22 10 5 7 42:42 35
5 Dongen 20 9 7 4 34:19 34
6 UNA 22 8 8 6 35:39 32
7 EVV 22 8 7 7 30:27 31
8 Blauw Geel 22 8 5 9 38:38 29
9 HSC '21 22 8 5 9 34:39 29
10 DEM 22 7 6 9 31:31 27
11 USV Hercules 21 8 3 10 35:38 27
12 Groene Ster 22 7 6 9 28:33 27
13 HV & CV Quick 21 7 5 9 29:26 26
14 Westlandia 22 6 6 10 31:40 24
15 ADO 20 Heemskerk 21 5 6 10 29:35 21
16 Lienden 21 4 6 11 17:39 18
17 Hoogland 22 3 8 11 31:51 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)