Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Excelsior 31 vs DEM

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Excelsior 31 Logo

Excelsior 31

4 - 2
FT
DEM Logo

DEM

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Seppenwoolde S.
55' Event
Donald J.
64' Event
Maneschijn P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Excelsior 31 in this Derde Divisie 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior 31.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Excelsior 31
15%
Draws
20%
DEM
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior 31

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Excelsior 31 lately — more wins on the board than DEM.
  • Model gives Excelsior 31 a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Excelsior 31 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 18%
DEM Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior 31 DEM
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 2 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs DEM
4:2
Dec 14, 2024 Derde Divisie
DEM vs Excelsior 31
1:1
Aug 17, 2019 KNVB Beker
Excelsior 31 vs DEM
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Excelsior 31 Compare

Top Goalscorer Maneschijn P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Seppenwoolde S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

DEM Compare

Top Goalscorer Donald J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Verswijveren T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 31 85 / 100
DEM 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior 31 DEM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior 31 found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (33 games).

DEM has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Excelsior 31 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior 31 VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior 31

(Home)
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3
Alkmaarse FC 1934
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2
Excelsior 31
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1
Purmersteijn
05 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
3 : 1
Excelsior 31
01 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 1
Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 7

DEM

(Away)
26 Jul
DEM
3 : 5
RKAV Volendam
24 May
Excelsior 31
4 : 2
DEM
17 May
DEM
0 : 2
Genemuiden
10 May
Sportlust
3 : 0
DEM
03 May
DEM
4 : 3
Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IJsselmeervogels 34 26 4 4 98:35 82
2 Harkemase Boys 34 21 7 6 74:46 70
3 Sportlust 34 20 7 7 78:37 67
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 19 8 7 78:52 65
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 16 10 8 68:50 58
6 USV Hercules 34 16 6 12 65:56 54
7 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 43:39 52
8 Genemuiden 34 13 9 12 52:44 48
9 Urk 34 15 2 17 56:67 47
10 Eemdijk 34 11 10 13 64:66 43
11 TEC 34 11 9 14 46:56 42
12 Rohda Raalte 34 11 7 16 63:68 40
13 HSC '21 34 12 4 18 50:66 40
14 Huizen 34 10 6 18 44:62 36
15 Excelsior 31 34 9 9 16 46:71 36
16 Ajax (Am) 34 9 8 17 48:64 35
17 DEM 34 8 6 20 43:85 30
18 HBC 34 1 7 26 40:92 10
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HSV Hoek 34 20 10 4 77:33 70
2 Kozakken Boys 34 19 7 8 72:29 64
3 Blauw Geel 34 19 7 8 73:45 64
4 VV Kloetinge 34 18 7 9 66:42 61
5 Gemert 34 17 7 10 57:50 58
6 Lisse 34 15 9 10 55:41 54
7 UNA 34 15 8 11 51:48 53
8 VVSB 34 15 6 13 61:61 51
9 SteDoCo 34 13 9 12 57:46 48
10 Meerssen 34 13 6 15 44:50 45
11 Rijnvogels 34 13 6 15 63:72 45
12 ASWH 34 12 6 16 59:73 42
13 TOGB 34 11 8 15 55:53 41
14 GOES 34 9 12 13 53:65 39
15 OJC Rosmalen 34 11 6 17 45:58 39
16 FC 's-Gravenzande 34 9 7 18 51:69 34
17 Smitshoek 34 6 7 21 53:94 25
18 HV & CV Quick 34 5 4 25 42:105 19
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)