Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between Excelsior 31 and SVZW Wierden finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excelsior 31.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior 31
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Excelsior 31 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Excelsior 31's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 19%
SVZW Wierden Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excelsior 31 | SVZW Wierden |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 16 |
| Wins | 15 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 3.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs SVZW Wierden
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excelsior 31 85 / 100
SVZW Wierden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excelsior 31 SVZW Wierden
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Excelsior 31 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
SVZW Wierden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 16 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Excelsior 31 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Excelsior 31 VS SVZW Wierden
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Excelsior 31
(Home) 03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0 VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3 Alkmaarse FC 1934
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2 Excelsior 31
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0 VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3 Alkmaarse FC 1934
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
29 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0 SVZW Wierden
15 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0 Eemdijk
Page 1 of 3
SVZW Wierden
(Away) 03 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 2 Sparta Nijkerk
26 Sept
ACV Assen
4 : 0 SVZW Wierden
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2 Harkemase Boys
12 Sept
Genemuiden
3 : 0 SVZW Wierden
05 Sept
SVZW Wierden
4 : 6 ADO 20 Heemskerk
Page 1 of 4
26 Sept
ACV Assen
4 : 0 SVZW Wierden
12 Sept
Genemuiden
3 : 0 SVZW Wierden
02 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
3 : 2 SVZW Wierden
29 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0 SVZW Wierden
15 Aug
VV Hoogeveen
4 : 3 SVZW Wierden
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:5 | 17 |
| 4 | Lisse | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 16 |
| 5 | GOES | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:13 | 14 |
| 6 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 7 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 8 | RKSV UDI 19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 9 | Gemert | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 11 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 12 | Blauw Geel | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 13 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 14 | UNA | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
