Sport Picks
Excelsior 31 vs VV DOVO - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between Excelsior 31 and VV DOVO finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excelsior 31.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior 31
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Excelsior 31 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Excelsior 31 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 20%
VV DOVO Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excelsior 31 | VV DOVO |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs VV DOVO
3:0
Jan 17, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV DOVO vs Excelsior 31
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs VV DOVO
1:0
Mar 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs VV DOVO
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Derde Divisie
VV DOVO vs Excelsior 31
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excelsior 31 85 / 100
VV DOVO 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excelsior 31 VV DOVO
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Excelsior 31's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
VV DOVO's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
Recent resilience: Excelsior 31 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: VV DOVO has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Excelsior 31 VS VV DOVO
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Excelsior 31
(Home) 03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0 VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3 Alkmaarse FC 1934
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2 Excelsior 31
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0 VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3 Alkmaarse FC 1934
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
29 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0 SVZW Wierden
15 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0 Eemdijk
Page 1 of 3
VV DOVO
(Away) 03 Oct
VV DOVO
1 : 3 ADO 20 Heemskerk
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0 VV DOVO
22 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
3 : 1 VV DOVO
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0 VV DOVO
12 Sept
VV DOVO
1 : 4 VV Hoogeveen
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0 VV DOVO
22 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
3 : 1 VV DOVO
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0 VV DOVO
05 Sept
Purmersteijn
1 : 2 VV DOVO
02 Sept
Surhusterfean
1 : 2 VV DOVO
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
