Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Excelsior Maassluis vs Excelsior

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2025/2026 Sportpark Dijkpolder, Maassluis
Wed, Oct 29, 2025
1 - 0
08:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Tureaij C.
43'
Hamd Y.
46'
Sub
Carlen A. In: Yegoian I.
Out: Carlen A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Excelsior Maassluis advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Excelsior Maassluis
20%
Draws
33%
Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior Maassluis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Excelsior Maassluis have managed 1.57 goals a game lately — Excelsior are scoring more at 2.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior Maassluis taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Excelsior Maassluis, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.57 2
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 KNVB Beker
Excelsior Maassluis vs Excelsior
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Excelsior Maassluis Compare

Top Goalscorer Nagtegaal N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Excelsior Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior Maassluis 34 / 100
Excelsior 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior Maassluis scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Excelsior has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Excelsior Maassluis has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior Maassluis VS Excelsior
1.63 Goals Scored 3.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior Maassluis

(Home)
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
05 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
0 : 0
VV Noordwijk
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
29 Aug
Lisse
1 : 0
Excelsior Maassluis
22 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1
Groene Ster
Page 1 of 6

Excelsior

(Away)
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2
Utrecht
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Excelsior
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3
Excelsior
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
15 Aug
Excelsior
1 : 2
PSV
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Helmond Sport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
Aalsmeer 2
HZVV Hoogeveen 4
TBD -
Excelsior Maassluis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
Walcheren 1
VV Noordwijk 3
TBD -
Hardenberg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
USV Hercules 4
GOES 0
TBD -
Spakenburg -
RKVV Erp 0
VV DOVO 4
TEC 3
SV Poortugaal 2
Rohda Raalte 4
HVV Hollandia 1
SteDoCo 0
DVS '33 Ermelo 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
SV Juliana 31 0
Meerssen 2
Gemert 2
Huizen 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
Harkemase Boys 0
Sparta Nijkerk 1
VV Kloetinge 3
DVO 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
HSV Hoek 6
Rijnvogels 4
Blauw Geel 2
VVOG 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
Lisse 1
Westlandia 0
VV Zwaluwen 1
Urk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
VVSB 1
Capelle 2
SVV Scheveningen 2
Staphorst 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
NAC Breda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
De Foresters 2
VV Scherpenzeel 3
VV Hoogeveen 6
Velocitas 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Emmen -
TOGB 1
RKSV UDI 19 3
Sportlust 4
Sportclub 25 1
Kozakken Boys 4
Kampong 0
TBD -
Barendrecht -
De Treffers -
TBD -
TBD -
RKAV Volendam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maastricht -
Eemdijk 4
Dongen 0
DZOH Emmen 2
Excelsior 31 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Willem II -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Heino 3
Groene Ster 4
IJsselmeervogels 0
Genemuiden 1
RKSV Halsteren 3
ACV Assen 1
AWC 0
ASWH 2
Den Bosch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Haag -
Katwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
ADO 20 Heemskerk 0
Roosendaal 2
TBD -
GVVV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heerenveen -
Olde Veste 0
HSC '21 3
't Zand 4
Mierlo-Hout 2
Koninklijke HFC -
TBD -
UNA 1
ARC 2
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
1/64-finals
Helmond Sport -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
HZVV Hoogeveen 1
Excelsior Maassluis 5
TBD -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
VV Noordwijk 0
Hardenberg 2
TBD -
TOP Oss -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
USV Hercules 1
Spakenburg 3
VV DOVO 1
TEC 0
Rohda Raalte 1
DVS '33 Ermelo 0
TBD -
Twente -
Meerssen 0
Gemert 1
TBD -
Sittard -
Sparta Nijkerk 4
VV Kloetinge 3
TBD -
Almere City -
HSV Hoek 1
Blauw Geel 0
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
Lisse 4
Urk 1
TBD -
Telstar -
Capelle 5
SVV Scheveningen 1
TBD -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
NAC Breda -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
VV Scherpenzeel 3
VV Hoogeveen 4
TBD -
FC Emmen -
RKSV UDI 19 0
Sportlust 1
Kozakken Boys 2
Barendrecht 3
De Treffers 6
RKAV Volendam 3
TBD -
Maastricht -
Eemdijk 2
Excelsior 31 1
TBD -
AFC -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Willem II -
TBD -
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Groene Ster 1
Genemuiden 2
RKSV Halsteren 3
ASWH 2
Den Bosch -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Haag -
Katwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Roosendaal 0
GVVV 1
TBD -
De Graafschap -
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
Heerenveen -
HSC '21 3
't Zand 1
Koninklijke HFC 5
ARC 0
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
1/32-finals
Helmond Sport 1
Zwolle 4
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
Excelsior Maassluis 1
Excelsior 0
TBD -
Ajax -
Hardenberg 0
TOP Oss 2
TBD -
Utrecht -
Spakenburg 5
VV DOVO 1
Rohda Raalte 1
Twente 4
Gemert 0
Sittard 1
Sparta Nijkerk 0
Almere City 2
HSV Hoek 3
Eindhoven FC 2
Lisse 0
Telstar 5
Capelle 1
Roda 5
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
NAC Breda 1
Heracles 4
VV Hoogeveen 1
FC Emmen 0
Sportlust 1
Barendrecht 0
De Treffers 3
Maastricht 1
Eemdijk 1
AFC 2
Rijnsburgse Boys 2
Nijmegen 3
Willem II 7
Dordrecht 0
Sparta Rotterdam 5
Groningen 2
Quick Boys 1
FC Volendam 2
Genemuiden 1
RKSV Halsteren 0
Den Bosch 4
Den Haag 3
Katwijk 2
Vitesse 1
PSV -
TBD -
GVVV 4
De Graafschap 2
Feyenoord -
TBD -
Venlo 0
Heerenveen 3
HSC '21 3
Koninklijke HFC 0
Waalwijk 3
Cambuur 2
1/16-finals
Zwolle 1
AZ Alkmaar 3
Excelsior Maassluis 2
Ajax 7
TOP Oss 0
Utrecht 2
Spakenburg 3
Twente 6
Sittard 2
Almere City 3
HSV Hoek 1
Telstar 4
Roda 1
G.A. Eagles 2
Heracles 4
VV Hoogeveen 1
Sportlust 0
De Treffers 1
AFC 1
Nijmegen 3
Willem II 1
Sparta Rotterdam 5
FC Volendam 2
Genemuiden 0
Den Bosch 2
Katwijk 1
PSV 3
GVVV 0
Feyenoord 2
Heerenveen 3
HSC '21 0
Waalwijk 9
1/8-finals
AZ Alkmaar 6
Ajax 0
Utrecht 1
Twente 2
Almere City 1
Telstar 3
G.A. Eagles 3
Heracles 2
De Treffers 1
Nijmegen 2
Sparta Rotterdam 1
FC Volendam 2
Den Bosch 1
PSV 4
Heerenveen 3
Waalwijk 1
Quarter-finals
AZ Alkmaar 2
Twente 1
Telstar 2
G.A. Eagles 1
Nijmegen 1
FC Volendam 0
PSV 4
Heerenveen 1
Semi-finals
AZ Alkmaar 2
Telstar 1
Nijmegen 3
PSV 2
Final
AZ Alkmaar 5
Nijmegen 1