Sport Picks
Excelsior Maassluis vs Groene Ster
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
Excelsior Maassluis host Groene Ster in the Derde Divisie. Little to choose between these two on current form. Groene Ster have shipped 1.76 goals a game lately, while Excelsior Maassluis have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.48. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.50 - 1.13) back Excelsior Maassluis to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Groene Ster lately — more wins on the board than Excelsior Maassluis.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excelsior Maassluis | Groene Ster |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Groene Ster has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.
Excelsior Maassluis found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Recent resilience: Excelsior Maassluis stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: Groene Ster has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Excelsior Maassluis
(Home)Groene Ster
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Purmersteijn | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | VV Hoogeveen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Harkemase Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 | ACV Assen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Sparta Nijkerk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 8 | Sportlust | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 9 | VV DOVO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 | Staphorst | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | SVZW Wierden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 0 |
| 14 | HVV Hollandia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 16 | TEC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 | VV Scherpenzeel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 18 | Eemdijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dongen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Lisse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 3 | VV Noordwijk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | VVSB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Gemert | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 6 | Rijnvogels | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 7 | Excelsior Maassluis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | RKSV UDI 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Roosendaal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | EVV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Groene Ster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | UNA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | GOES | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | TOGB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | SV Poortugaal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 | Blauw Geel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 18 | VV Zwaluwen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
