Sport Picks
Excelsior Maassluis vs Groene Ster - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
Excelsior Maassluis in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior Maassluis.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
67%
15%
18%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior Maassluis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Excelsior Maassluis lately — more wins on the board than Groene Ster.
- Win probability leans Excelsior Maassluis's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 20%
Groene Ster Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excelsior Maassluis | Groene Ster |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Derde Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs Groene Ster
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excelsior Maassluis 85 / 100
Groene Ster 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excelsior Maassluis Groene Ster
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excelsior Maassluis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Groene Ster has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Excelsior Maassluis stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Excelsior Maassluis found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Excelsior Maassluis VS Groene Ster
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Excelsior Maassluis
(Home) 03 Oct
VVSB
2 : 3 Excelsior Maassluis
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0 Blauw Geel
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0 Roosendaal
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3 Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0 Blauw Geel
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0 Roosendaal
05 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
0 : 0 VV Noordwijk
22 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1 Groene Ster
08 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
4 : 2 Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 3
Groene Ster
(Away) 03 Oct
Rijnvogels
5 : 1 Groene Ster
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2 Gemert
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6 AFC
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1 Groene Ster
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Rijnvogels
5 : 1 Groene Ster
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1 Groene Ster
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
22 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1 Groene Ster
16 May
TOGB
5 : 1 Groene Ster
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
