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Excelsior vs Good Luck

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2016/2017 game between Excelsior and Good Luck finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Good Luck.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Excelsior
15%
Draws
0%
Good Luck
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Excelsior carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Excelsior's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Good Luck have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 20%
Good Luck Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Good Luck
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 3
Draws 3 4
Losses 20 26
Goals Scored 1.07 1.06
Goals Conceded 3 3.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.85 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2017 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Excelsior vs Good Luck
1:2
Nov 19, 2016 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Good Luck vs Excelsior
2:1
Jan 30, 2016 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Good Luck vs Excelsior
3:0
Oct 3, 2015 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Excelsior vs Good Luck
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 85 / 100
Good Luck 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Good Luck

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Good Luck has conceded goals in 97% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Good Luck lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Excelsior's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Good Luck
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 4.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior

(Home)
13 May
Excelsior
2 : 2
JS Eucalyptus
06 May
CS Case-Pilote
1 : 2
Excelsior
29 Apr
Excelsior
0 : 2
Golden Lion
23 Apr
Excelsior
1 : 3
Golden Star
08 Apr
Club Colonial
6 : 0
Excelsior
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Good Luck

(Away)
13 May
New Club
4 : 1
Good Luck
06 May
Good Luck
0 : 1
Vert Pre
29 Apr
Assaut
3 : 0
Good Luck
22 Apr
Good Luck
0 : 2
Robert
15 Apr
RC Saint Joseph
13 : 0
Good Luck
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