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Excelsior vs Haarlem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
Fri, Jan 22, 2010
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Excelsior host Haarlem in the Eerste Divisie 2009/2010. Excelsior are expected to control this from the start. Excelsior have averaged 2.04 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against Haarlem's 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Excelsior have won 0 to Haarlem's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Jan 22, 2010, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.79 xG vs 1.19) point toward Excelsior. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Excelsior
25%
Draws
35%
Haarlem
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Excelsior carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 20%
Haarlem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Haarlem
Matches Played 28 2
Wins 12 1
Draws 8 0
Losses 8 1
Goals Scored 2.04 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.36 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2010 Eerste Divisie
Excelsior vs Haarlem
0:0
Oct 9, 2009 Eerste Divisie
Haarlem vs Excelsior
0:0
Jan 24, 2009 Eerste Divisie
Excelsior vs Haarlem
1:1
Oct 17, 2008 Eerste Divisie
Haarlem vs Excelsior
2:1
Jan 20, 2006 Eerste Divisie
Excelsior vs Haarlem
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 31 / 100
Haarlem 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Haarlem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Haarlem has conceded goals in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Excelsior went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior

(Home)
19 Sept
Ajax
2 : 2
Excelsior
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2
Utrecht
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Excelsior
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3
Excelsior
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 6

Haarlem

(Away)
27 Jul
Sheffield Wed
2 : 3
Haarlem
27 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0
Haarlem

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 De Graafschap 36 25 6 5 85:34 81
2 Cambuur 36 21 8 7 78:48 71
3 Excelsior 36 20 5 11 77:49 65
4 Zwolle 36 19 8 9 59:37 65
5 G.A. Eagles 36 18 9 9 53:33 63
6 Apeldoorn 36 16 9 11 63:52 55
7 Den Bosch 36 14 12 10 66:54 54
8 Helmond Sport 36 16 6 14 63:53 54
9 Veendam 36 14 11 11 57:48 52
10 Maastricht 36 14 7 15 59:67 49
11 Roosendaal 36 12 10 14 47:53 46
12 Eindhoven FC 36 13 7 16 63:81 46
13 Dordrecht 36 13 4 19 54:59 43
14 Almere City 36 11 7 18 40:65 40
15 FC Emmen 36 10 8 18 51:79 38
16 FC Volendam 36 8 11 17 61:81 35
17 Sittard 36 7 9 20 31:57 30
18 Telstar 36 7 8 21 45:65 29
19 TOP Oss 36 6 11 19 42:79 29
20 Haarlem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)