Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
van Bommel R.
46'
46'
Sub
Sliti A. In: Martens N.
Out: Sliti A.
46'
46'
Sub
Silva Timas I. In: Turay O.
Out: Silva Timas I.
AI Match Summary
The Eredivisie game between Excelsior and PSV finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSV.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSV
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and PSV come out ahead of Excelsior on wins alone.
- PSV are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).
- History favors PSV here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%
PSV Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excelsior | PSV |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 21 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 2.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs PSV
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 Eredivisie
PSV vs Excelsior
5:1
Sep 27, 2025 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs PSV
1:2
Jan 14, 2025 KNVB Beker
PSV vs Excelsior
5:4
Apr 2, 2024 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs PSV
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Excelsior Compare
Top Goalscorer Widell C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
PSV Compare
Top Goalscorer van Bommel R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pepi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excelsior 10 / 100
PSV 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excelsior PSV
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PSV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:10
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Excelsior scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
PSV has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.
Excelsior has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Excelsior VS PSV
3.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Excelsior
(Home) 13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2 Utrecht
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2 Excelsior
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3 Excelsior
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
15 Aug
Excelsior
1 : 2 PSV
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2 Utrecht
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
15 Aug
Excelsior
1 : 2 PSV
04 Jul
Excelsior
3 : 2 Cambuur
10 May
Excelsior
1 : 1 FC Volendam
Page 1 of 3
PSV
(Away) 13 Sept
PSV
4 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1 Shakhtar
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3 PSV
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6 PSV
23 Aug
PSV
5 : 1 Groningen
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3 PSV
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6 PSV
15 Aug
Excelsior
1 : 2 PSV
10 May
G.A. Eagles
1 : 4 PSV
02 May
Ajax
2 : 2 PSV
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Ajax | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Twente | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 10 |
| 8 | Sittard | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:14 | 10 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15:13 | 9 |
| 10 | Nijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | 5 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Cambuur | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:18 | 4 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 17 | Willem II | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:19 | 2 |
| 18 | Den Haag | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
