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Excelsior vs Saint-Pauloise FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint-Pauloise FC in this Regionale 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint-Pauloise FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Excelsior
15%
Draws
36%
Saint-Pauloise FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Excelsior have won more games recently than Saint-Pauloise FC.
  • Model gives Excelsior a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionale 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Pauloise FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Saint-Pauloise FC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 18 17
Draws 9 8
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 2.13 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Saint-Pauloise FC
0:2
Jun 1, 2025 Regionale 1
Saint-Pauloise FC vs Excelsior
2:2
Nov 3, 2024 Regionale 1
Saint-Pauloise FC vs Excelsior
2:2
Jun 16, 2024 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Saint-Pauloise FC
2:1
Aug 8, 2023 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Saint-Pauloise FC
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 85 / 100
Saint-Pauloise FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Saint-Pauloise FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Saint-Pauloise FC let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Excelsior stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior VS Saint-Pauloise FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior

(Home)
23 Nov
Excelsior
4 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Excelsior
3 : 0
Riviere des Galets
19 Oct
Saint-Pierroise
1 : 2
Excelsior
12 Oct
Excelsior
0 : 2
Saint-Pauloise FC
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Saint-Pauloise FC

(Away)
29 Nov
Laval
6 : 0
Saint-Pauloise FC
21 Nov
Saint-Pauloise FC
4 : 0
Marsouins
16 Nov
Saint-Pauloise FC
1 : 0
Dominicaine
09 Nov
Riviere des Galets
1 : 3
Saint-Pauloise FC
02 Nov
Saint-Pauloise FC
2 : 3
Saint-Pierroise
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