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Excelsior vs Saint-Pierroise

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint-Pierroise in this Regionale 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint-Pierroise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Excelsior
15%
Draws
39%
Saint-Pierroise
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Saint-Pierroise have won more games recently than Excelsior.
  • Win probability leans Excelsior's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Pierroise Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Saint-Pierroise
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 19
Draws 9 6
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.06 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.84 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Regionale 1
Saint-Pierroise vs Excelsior
1:2
Jun 8, 2025 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Saint-Pierroise
1:3
Sep 22, 2024 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Saint-Pierroise
2:1
May 12, 2024 Regionale 1
Saint-Pierroise vs Excelsior
1:1
Oct 1, 2023 Regionale 1
Saint-Pierroise vs Excelsior
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 85 / 100
Saint-Pierroise 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Saint-Pierroise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Saint-Pierroise's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Excelsior stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior VS Saint-Pierroise
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior

(Home)
23 Nov
Excelsior
4 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Excelsior
3 : 0
Riviere des Galets
19 Oct
Saint-Pierroise
1 : 2
Excelsior
12 Oct
Excelsior
0 : 2
Saint-Pauloise FC
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Saint-Pierroise

(Away)
23 Nov
Saint-Pierroise
2 : 0
Riviere des Galets
09 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 0
Saint-Pierroise
02 Nov
Saint-Pauloise FC
2 : 3
Saint-Pierroise
19 Oct
Saint-Pierroise
1 : 2
Excelsior
12 Oct
Dominicaine
0 : 2
Saint-Pierroise
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