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Excelsior vs SC Chaudron

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1 2023
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AI Match Summary

Excelsior in this Regionale 1 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Excelsior
35%
Draws
16%
SC Chaudron
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Chaudron haven't matched Excelsior's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Excelsior's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 20%
SC Chaudron Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior SC Chaudron
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 20 4
Draws 9 6
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 2.16 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.69 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2023 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs SC Chaudron
3:0
Jun 4, 2023 Regionale 1
SC Chaudron vs Excelsior
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 85 / 100
SC Chaudron 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior SC Chaudron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: SC Chaudron conceded in 92% of 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Excelsior remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior

(Home)
23 Nov
Excelsior
4 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Excelsior
3 : 0
Riviere des Galets
19 Oct
Saint-Pierroise
1 : 2
Excelsior
12 Oct
Excelsior
0 : 2
Saint-Pauloise FC
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SC Chaudron

(Away)
26 Nov
Saint Louis
0 : 0
SC Chaudron
22 Nov
SC Chaudron
2 : 2
Saint-Denis
12 Nov
SC Chaudron
1 : 1
Saint-Pauloise FC
05 Nov
Excelsior
3 : 0
SC Chaudron
22 Oct
SC Chaudron
1 : 1
Piton Saint-Leu
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