Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Excursionistas vs CSD Liniers

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Excursionistas Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Pedrosa G.
7'
Fernandez G.
12' Event
Polvera M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Excursionistas and CSD Liniers finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excursionistas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Excursionistas
11%
Draws
9%
CSD Liniers
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Excursionistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Excursionistas come out ahead of CSD Liniers on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Excursionistas taking it.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%
CSD Liniers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excursionistas CSD Liniers
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Primera B
Excursionistas vs CSD Liniers
4:1
Oct 12, 2025 Primera B
CSD Liniers vs Excursionistas
1:0
Jun 11, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs CSD Liniers
1:0
Jun 29, 2024 Primera B
Excursionistas vs CSD Liniers
0:0
Feb 13, 2024 Primera B
CSD Liniers vs Excursionistas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Excursionistas Compare

Top Goalscorer Polvera M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Blanco M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

CSD Liniers Compare

Top Goalscorer Formichelli S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excursionistas 86 / 100
CSD Liniers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excursionistas CSD Liniers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EXC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excursionistas scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

CSD Liniers has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Excursionistas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Excursionistas VS CSD Liniers
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas25146537:1748
2Arsenal Sarandi25138436:1947
3Villa Dalmine25138430:1447
4Talleres Remedios Escalada25137528:1346
5Deportivo Camioneros25128529:1744
6Sportivo Italiano25118625:2041
7Real Pilar25107829:2837
8Deportivo Armenio25106928:2936
9San Martin Burzaco25811625:2135
10Comunicaciones2598828:2635
11Laferrere2598827:3035
12Dep. Merlo2598830:3735
13Argentino de Merlo2597924:2234
14Argentino de Quilmes2579925:2830
15Dock Sud25610925:2428
16CSD Liniers25681116:2526
17Flandria25751320:3126
18UAI Urquiza25315712:2024
19Defensores Unidos25591120:2924
20Brown Adrogue25591116:2824
21Villa San Carlos254101124:3122
22Ituzaingo25171718:4310