Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Excursionistas vs CSD Liniers

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Pedrosa G.
7'
Fernandez G.
12' Event
Polvera M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Excursionistas and CSD Liniers finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excursionistas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Excursionistas
20%
Draws
32%
CSD Liniers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excursionistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Excursionistas come out ahead of CSD Liniers on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%
CSD Liniers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excursionistas CSD Liniers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 12
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.55 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Primera B
Excursionistas vs CSD Liniers
4:1
Oct 12, 2025 Primera B
CSD Liniers vs Excursionistas
1:0
Jun 11, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs CSD Liniers
1:0
Jun 29, 2024 Primera B
Excursionistas vs CSD Liniers
0:0
Feb 13, 2024 Primera B
CSD Liniers vs Excursionistas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Excursionistas Compare

Top Goalscorer Polvera M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Blanco M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

CSD Liniers Compare

Top Goalscorer Formichelli S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excursionistas 41 / 100
CSD Liniers 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excursionistas CSD Liniers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excursionistas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excursionistas scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

CSD Liniers has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Excursionistas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Excursionistas VS CSD Liniers
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Excursionistas

(Home)
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0
Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1
Ituzaingo
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0
Excursionistas
25 Aug
Excursionistas
2 : 0
Argentino de Merlo
22 Aug
Talleres Remedios Escalada
1 : 2
Excursionistas
Page 1 of 6

CSD Liniers

(Away)
12 Sept
Talleres Remedios Escalada
0 : 2
CSD Liniers
06 Sept
CSD Liniers
2 : 2
Laferrere
29 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 1
CSD Liniers
26 Aug
CSD Liniers
3 : 1
Deportivo Armenio
22 Aug
Flandria
1 : 0
CSD Liniers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 35 20 8 7 54:28 68
2 Arsenal Sarandi 35 18 12 5 47:22 66
3 Deportivo Camioneros 35 17 12 6 41:22 63
4 Talleres Remedios Escalada 35 18 9 8 37:19 63
5 Villa Dalmine 35 16 12 7 35:20 60
6 Sportivo Italiano 35 16 10 9 41:27 58
7 Real Pilar 35 15 10 10 38:34 55
8 Deportivo Armenio 35 14 9 12 36:37 51
9 Comunicaciones 35 13 11 11 36:33 50
10 Laferrere 35 12 12 11 42:45 48
11 San Martin Burzaco 35 10 14 11 33:36 44
12 Dock Sud 35 10 13 12 38:38 43
13 Argentino de Merlo 35 10 11 14 30:35 41
14 Villa San Carlos 35 9 13 13 35:39 40
15 CSD Liniers 35 9 13 13 29:35 40
16 Argentino de Quilmes 35 9 13 13 29:36 40
17 Dep. Merlo 35 9 13 13 34:49 40
18 Flandria 35 10 8 17 31:43 38
19 Defensores Unidos 35 8 13 14 31:36 37
20 Brown Adrogue 35 7 13 15 21:37 34
21 UAI Urquiza 35 4 19 12 17:31 31
22 Ituzaingo 35 1 12 22 22:55 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)