Sport Picks
Excursionistas vs Deportivo Armenio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera B Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
30'
30'
Cardozo I.
41'
41'
Davila M.
46'
46'
Sub
Blanco M. In: Polvera M.
Out: Blanco M.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Excursionistas and Deportivo Armenio finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excursionistas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
15%
44%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Armenio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Excursionistas come out ahead of Deportivo Armenio on wins alone.
- 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Armenio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excursionistas | Deportivo Armenio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Deportivo Armenio
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 Primera B
Deportivo Armenio vs Excursionistas
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 Primera B
Deportivo Armenio vs Excursionistas
2:1
May 9, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Deportivo Armenio
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Deportivo Armenio
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Excursionistas Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arango M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Deportivo Armenio Compare
Top Goalscorer Davila M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excursionistas 41 / 100
Deportivo Armenio 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excursionistas Deportivo Armenio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excursionistas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Excursionistas scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Excursionistas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Deportivo Armenio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Excursionistas VS Deportivo Armenio
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 25%
88% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Excursionistas
(Home) 03 Oct
CSD Liniers
1 : 0 Excursionistas
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2 Excursionistas
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Ituzaingo
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Ituzaingo
25 Aug
Excursionistas
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
15 Aug
Excursionistas
5 : 3 Laferrere
Page 1 of 3
Deportivo Armenio
(Away) 03 Oct
Dock Sud
0 : 3 Deportivo Armenio
26 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
19 Sept
Deportivo Camioneros
1 : 2 Deportivo Armenio
12 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0 Sportivo Italiano
05 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
0 : 0 Deportivo Armenio
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Dock Sud
0 : 3 Deportivo Armenio
19 Sept
Deportivo Camioneros
1 : 2 Deportivo Armenio
05 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
0 : 0 Deportivo Armenio
26 Aug
CSD Liniers
3 : 1 Deportivo Armenio
16 Aug
UAI Urquiza
0 : 1 Deportivo Armenio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 59:30 | 74 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 50:25 | 69 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 40:23 | 67 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 45:28 | 65 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 38:23 | 64 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 43:29 | 63 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 42:38 | 60 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 39:34 | 55 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 46:50 | 51 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 39:41 | 50 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 37:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Argentino de Merlo | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 33:39 | 44 |
| 15 | Dep. Merlo | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 36:51 | 44 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 30:37 | 43 |
| 17 | CSD Liniers | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 31:39 | 43 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 33:39 | 41 |
| 19 | Brown Adrogue | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 24:37 | 39 |
| 20 | Flandria | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 38 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 21:35 | 35 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 38 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 25:62 | 15 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
