Sport Picks

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Exeter U23 vs Leicester U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2018/2019 St James Park, Exeter
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Sherif L.
48' Event
Sparkes J.
90'
Edwards-John K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Exeter U23
30%
Draws
34%
Leicester U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Exeter U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Leicester U23 haven't matched Exeter U23's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Exeter U23's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Exeter U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Exeter U23 Clean Sheet 13%
Leicester U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter U23 Leicester U23
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.67 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2019 Premier League Cup
Exeter U23 vs Leicester U23
1:1
Jan 16, 2019 Premier League Cup
Leicester U23 vs Exeter U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Exeter U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sparkes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Leicester U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sherif L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter U23 35 / 100
Leicester U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter U23 Leicester U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Exeter U23's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Leicester U23 has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Exeter U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Exeter U23 VS Leicester U23
1.33 Goals Scored 1.63
1.67 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 100%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter U23

(Home)
22 Feb
Wolves U23
0 : 2
Exeter U23
18 Jan
Exeter U23
0 : 3
West Ham U23
14 Jan
Swansea U23
2 : 2
Exeter U23
13 Oct
West Ham U23
3 : 2
Exeter U23
15 Sept
Exeter U23
2 : 3
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 6

Leicester U23

(Away)
02 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 2
Leicester U23
25 Apr
Leicester U23
0 : 4
Liverpool U23
18 Apr
Leicester U23
4 : 1
Blackburn U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1
Derby U23
04 Apr
Leicester U23
3 : 2
Manchester United U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stoke City U23641117:813
2Sunderland U23640218:1312
3Peterborough U23620411:186
4Charlton U2361146:134
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Everton U23642011:514
2Blackburn U23631214:610
3Sheffield Utd U2363039:99
4Doncaster U2360156:201
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Burnley U2362319:129
2Bournemouth U23622213:108
3Liverpool U2361415:47
4West Brom U2361326:76
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nottingham U23651017:616
2Leicester U2361328:86
3Exeter U2361327:116
4Norwich U2360335:123
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swansea U2363219:511
2Wolves U2363217:511
3Oxford Utd U2362136:77
4Hull City U2361146:114
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Derby U23641118:413
2Aston Villa U23640215:612
3Plymouth U2361326:86
4Bristol City U2360244:252
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Reading U23641115:713
2Fulham U23640216:512
3Birmingham U23631211:910
4Colchester U2360063:240
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leeds U23640214:812
2Newcastle Utd U23632111:711
3Southampton U23631218:1010
4Notts County U2360156:241
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)