Sport Picks

England

Premier League Cup 2018/2019 St James Park, Exeter

Exeter U23

1 - 1

Leicester U23

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

Sherif L.

48'

Sparkes J.

90'

Edwards-John K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Exeter U23

15%

Draws

59%

Leicester U23

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leicester U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Leicester U23 haven't matched Exeter U23's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Exeter U23's way, sitting at 36%.
Exeter U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%

Exeter U23 Clean Sheet 13%

Leicester U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Exeter U23	Leicester U23
Matches Played	29	34
Wins	13	11
Draws	9	13
Losses	7	10
Goals Scored	1.69	1.35
Goals Conceded	1.28	1.79
Expected Goals (xG)	1.85	1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2019 Premier League Cup

Exeter U23 vs Leicester U23

1:1

Jan 16, 2019 Premier League Cup

Leicester U23 vs Exeter U23

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Exeter U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sparkes J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.93

Leicester U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sherif L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.5

Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter U23 35 / 100

Leicester U23 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Exeter U23 Leicester U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Exeter U23's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Leicester U23 has conceded goals in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Exeter U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Exeter U23 VS Leicester U23

1.33 Goals Scored 1.63

1.67 Goals Conceded 2.38

100% Over 1.5 100%

67% Over 2.5 100%

33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter U23

(Home)

22 Feb

Wolves U23

0 : 2

Exeter U23

18 Jan

Exeter U23

0 : 3

West Ham U23

14 Jan

Swansea U23

2 : 2

Exeter U23

13 Oct

West Ham U23

3 : 2

Exeter U23

15 Sept

Exeter U23

2 : 3

Wolves U23

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Leicester U23

(Away)

02 May

Crystal Palace U23

3 : 2

Leicester U23

25 Apr

Leicester U23

0 : 4

Liverpool U23

18 Apr

Leicester U23

4 : 1

Blackburn U23

15 Apr

Leicester U23

2 : 1

Derby U23

04 Apr

Leicester U23

3 : 2

Manchester United U23

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