Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Exeter U23 vs Norwich U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2018/2019 St James Park, Exeter
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Spyrou A.
45' Event
Seymour B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Exeter U23
20%
Draws
40%
Norwich U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Exeter U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Exeter U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Exeter U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Norwich U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter U23 Norwich U23
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.69 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 2.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2019 Premier League Cup
Norwich U23 vs Exeter U23
0:3
Nov 8, 2018 Premier League Cup
Exeter U23 vs Norwich U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Exeter U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Seymour B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Norwich U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Spyrou A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.06
Avg xA / game 1.26

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter U23 30 / 100
Norwich U23 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter U23 Norwich U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Exeter U23 found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Norwich U23 has conceded goals in 88% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Norwich U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Exeter U23 VS Norwich U23
1.33 Goals Scored 2.88
1.67 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 100%
33% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter U23

(Home)
22 Feb
Wolves U23
0 : 2
Exeter U23
18 Jan
Exeter U23
0 : 3
West Ham U23
14 Jan
Swansea U23
2 : 2
Exeter U23
13 Oct
West Ham U23
3 : 2
Exeter U23
15 Sept
Exeter U23
2 : 3
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 6

Norwich U23

(Away)
17 May
Wolves U23
2 : 1
Norwich U23
29 Apr
Norwich U23
0 : 2
Wolves U23
25 Apr
West Brom U23
3 : 2
Norwich U23
01 Apr
Norwich U23
1 : 1
Sunderland U23
25 Mar
Stoke City U23
0 : 4
Norwich U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stoke City U23 6 4 1 1 17:8 13
2 Sunderland U23 6 4 0 2 18:13 12
3 Peterborough U23 6 2 0 4 11:18 6
4 Charlton U23 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Everton U23 6 4 2 0 11:5 14
2 Blackburn U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
4 Doncaster U23 6 0 1 5 6:20 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley U23 6 2 3 1 9:12 9
2 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 13:10 8
3 Liverpool U23 6 1 4 1 5:4 7
4 West Brom U23 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U23 6 5 1 0 17:6 16
2 Leicester U23 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
3 Exeter U23 6 1 3 2 7:11 6
4 Norwich U23 6 0 3 3 5:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea U23 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
3 Oxford Utd U23 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
4 Hull City U23 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 4 1 1 18:4 13
2 Aston Villa U23 6 4 0 2 15:6 12
3 Plymouth U23 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
4 Bristol City U23 6 0 2 4 4:25 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading U23 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Fulham U23 6 4 0 2 16:5 12
3 Birmingham U23 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
4 Colchester U23 6 0 0 6 3:24 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leeds U23 6 4 0 2 14:8 12
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 2 1 11:7 11
3 Southampton U23 6 3 1 2 18:10 10
4 Notts County U23 6 0 1 5 6:24 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)