Sport Picks

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Exeter U23 vs Wolves U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022 St James Park, Exeter
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Cox S.
27' Event
Campbell C.
50' Event
Carty C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Wolves U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Exeter U23
15%
Draws
64%
Wolves U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wolves U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wolves U23 come out ahead of Exeter U23 on wins alone.
  • Wolves U23 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Wolves U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wolves U23, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Wolves U23 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Exeter U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Wolves U23 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter U23 Wolves U23
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 19
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.69 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2022 Premier League Cup
Wolves U23 vs Exeter U23
0:2
Sep 15, 2021 Premier League Cup
Exeter U23 vs Wolves U23
2:3
Mar 21, 2018 Premier League Cup
Wolves U23 vs Exeter U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Exeter U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cox S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pond A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Wolves U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Campbell C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carty C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter U23 14 / 100
Wolves U23 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter U23 Wolves U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wolves U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Exeter U23 found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Wolves U23 let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Exeter U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Exeter U23 VS Wolves U23
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter U23

(Home)
22 Feb
Wolves U23
0 : 2
Exeter U23
18 Jan
Exeter U23
0 : 3
West Ham U23
14 Jan
Swansea U23
2 : 2
Exeter U23
13 Oct
West Ham U23
3 : 2
Exeter U23
15 Sept
Exeter U23
2 : 3
Wolves U23
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Wolves U23

(Away)
23 May
Wolves U23
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
17 May
Wolves U23
2 : 1
Norwich U23
13 May
West Brom U23
3 : 2
Wolves U23
04 May
Wolves U23
3 : 2
Middlesbrough U23
29 Apr
Norwich U23
0 : 2
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)