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Exeter W vs AFC Wimbledon W

England England

Women's National League South 2025/2026 St James Park, Exeter
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Exeter W in this Women's National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Exeter W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Exeter W
30%
Draws
39%
AFC Wimbledon W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AFC Wimbledon W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Exeter W lately — more wins on the board than AFC Wimbledon W.
  • AFC Wimbledon W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Exeter W Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Wimbledon W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter W AFC Wimbledon W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.97 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Women's National League South
AFC Wimbledon W vs Exeter W
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs AFC Wimbledon W
2:0
Feb 23, 2025 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs AFC Wimbledon W
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 Women's National League South
AFC Wimbledon W vs Exeter W
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter W 22 / 100
AFC Wimbledon W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter W AFC Wimbledon W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Wimbledon W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Exeter W scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: AFC Wimbledon W conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Exeter W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Exeter W VS AFC Wimbledon W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter W

(Home)
13 Sept
Cheltenham W
4 : 4
Exeter W
30 Aug
Exeter W
3 : 1
Lewes W
23 Aug
Hashtag W
1 : 1
Exeter W
16 Aug
Exeter W
0 : 4
Oxford Utd W
02 Aug
Exeter W
2 : 1
Cardiff City W
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AFC Wimbledon W

(Away)
13 Sept
AFC Wimbledon W
2 : 0
Real Bedford W
23 Aug
Plymouth W
0 : 6
AFC Wimbledon W
16 Aug
AFC Wimbledon W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
26 Apr
Hashtag W
2 : 2
AFC Wimbledon W
12 Apr
AFC Wimbledon W
2 : 0
Exeter W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watford W 22 17 2 3 80:24 53
2 Plymouth W 22 16 4 2 61:11 52
3 Bournemouth W 22 14 4 4 61:20 46
4 Oxford Utd W 22 12 3 7 44:27 39
5 Lewes W 22 12 1 9 46:27 37
6 Real Bedford W 22 9 3 10 42:34 30
7 Exeter W 22 9 3 10 39:35 30
8 Cheltenham W 22 7 3 12 31:46 24
9 Hashtag W 22 6 5 11 34:38 23
10 AFC Wimbledon W 22 6 4 12 30:48 22
11 Gwalia United W 22 6 4 12 28:46 22
12 Billericay W 22 0 0 22 5:145 0
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