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Exeter W vs Bournemouth W

England England

Women's National League South 2025/2026 St James Park, Exeter
Exeter W Logo

Exeter W

2 - 2
FT
Bournemouth W Logo

Bournemouth W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Women's National League South 2025/2026 game between Exeter W and Bournemouth W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Exeter W
30%
Draws
43%
Bournemouth W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bournemouth W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Bournemouth W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bournemouth W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Exeter W Clean Sheet 10%
Bournemouth W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter W Bournemouth W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 20
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.9 2.9
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs Bournemouth W
2:2
Aug 31, 2025 Women's National League South
Bournemouth W vs Exeter W
1:1
Aug 11, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Exeter W vs Bournemouth W
3:1
Nov 13, 2022 Women’s FA Cup
Exeter W vs Bournemouth W
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter W 14 / 100
Bournemouth W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter W Bournemouth W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bournemouth W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Exeter W scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Bournemouth W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Exeter W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Exeter W VS Bournemouth W
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter W

(Home)
13 Sept
Cheltenham W
4 : 4
Exeter W
30 Aug
Exeter W
3 : 1
Lewes W
23 Aug
Hashtag W
1 : 1
Exeter W
16 Aug
Exeter W
0 : 4
Oxford Utd W
02 Aug
Exeter W
2 : 1
Cardiff City W
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Bournemouth W

(Away)
13 Sept
Lewes W
1 : 1
Bournemouth W
30 Aug
Bournemouth W
4 : 1
Hashtag W
23 Aug
Bournemouth W
2 : 1
Cheltenham W
16 Aug
AFC Wimbledon W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
26 Apr
Watford W
2 : 4
Bournemouth W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watford W 22 17 2 3 80:24 53
2 Plymouth W 22 16 4 2 61:11 52
3 Bournemouth W 22 14 4 4 61:20 46
4 Oxford Utd W 22 12 3 7 44:27 39
5 Lewes W 22 12 1 9 46:27 37
6 Real Bedford W 22 9 3 10 42:34 30
7 Exeter W 22 9 3 10 39:35 30
8 Cheltenham W 22 7 3 12 31:46 24
9 Hashtag W 22 6 5 11 34:38 23
10 AFC Wimbledon W 22 6 4 12 30:48 22
11 Gwalia United W 22 6 4 12 28:46 22
12 Billericay W 22 0 0 22 5:145 0
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