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Stadium Background

Exeter W vs Cheltenham W

England England

Women's National League South 2025/2026 St James Park, Exeter
Exeter W Logo

Exeter W

0 - 4
FT
Cheltenham W Logo

Cheltenham W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Women's National League South 2025/2026 game between Exeter W and Cheltenham W finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cheltenham W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Exeter W
30%
Draws
23%
Cheltenham W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Exeter W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cheltenham W haven't matched Exeter W's recent run of results.
  • Exeter W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Exeter W Clean Sheet 10%
Cheltenham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter W Cheltenham W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.97 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Exeter W
4:4
Dec 7, 2025 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs Cheltenham W
0:4
Aug 17, 2025 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Exeter W
0:2
Mar 23, 2025 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs Cheltenham W
2:1
Oct 13, 2024 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Exeter W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter W 38 / 100
Cheltenham W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter W Cheltenham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Exeter W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheltenham W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Exeter W scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Exeter W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Exeter W VS Cheltenham W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter W

(Home)
13 Sept
Cheltenham W
4 : 4
Exeter W
30 Aug
Exeter W
3 : 1
Lewes W
23 Aug
Hashtag W
1 : 1
Exeter W
16 Aug
Exeter W
0 : 4
Oxford Utd W
02 Aug
Exeter W
2 : 1
Cardiff City W
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Cheltenham W

(Away)
13 Sept
Cheltenham W
4 : 4
Exeter W
30 Aug
Oxford Utd W
5 : 0
Cheltenham W
23 Aug
Bournemouth W
2 : 1
Cheltenham W
16 Aug
Cheltenham W
1 : 3
Real Bedford W
26 Apr
Billericay W
0 : 5
Cheltenham W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watford W 22 17 2 3 80:24 53
2 Plymouth W 22 16 4 2 61:11 52
3 Bournemouth W 22 14 4 4 61:20 46
4 Oxford Utd W 22 12 3 7 44:27 39
5 Lewes W 22 12 1 9 46:27 37
6 Real Bedford W 22 9 3 10 42:34 30
7 Exeter W 22 9 3 10 39:35 30
8 Cheltenham W 22 7 3 12 31:46 24
9 Hashtag W 22 6 5 11 34:38 23
10 AFC Wimbledon W 22 6 4 12 30:48 22
11 Gwalia United W 22 6 4 12 28:46 22
12 Billericay W 22 0 0 22 5:145 0
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