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Exeter W vs Lewes W

England England

Women's National League South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Exeter W in this Women's National League South matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Exeter W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Exeter W
35%
Draws
32%
Lewes W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Lewes W have won more games recently than Exeter W.
  • Model gives Lewes W a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Women's National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Exeter W Clean Sheet 10%
Lewes W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter W Lewes W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.84 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs Lewes W
3:1
Feb 22, 2026 Women's National League South
Lewes W vs Exeter W
4:0
Aug 24, 2025 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs Lewes W
1:2
Dec 15, 2024 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs Lewes W
1:0
Aug 25, 2024 Women's National League South
Lewes W vs Exeter W
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter W 26 / 100
Lewes W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter W Lewes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lewes W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Exeter W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Lewes W has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Exeter W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Exeter W VS Lewes W
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter W

(Home)
20 Sept
Exeter W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
13 Sept
Cheltenham W
4 : 4
Exeter W
30 Aug
Exeter W
3 : 1
Lewes W
23 Aug
Hashtag W
1 : 1
Exeter W
16 Aug
Exeter W
0 : 4
Oxford Utd W
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Lewes W

(Away)
20 Sept
Lewes W
3 : 0
Cheltenham W
13 Sept
Lewes W
1 : 1
Bournemouth W
30 Aug
Exeter W
3 : 1
Lewes W
23 Aug
Oxford Utd W
3 : 0
Lewes W
16 Aug
Lewes W
1 : 1
Hashtag W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oxford Utd W 5 5 0 0 22:0 15
2 Bournemouth W 5 4 1 0 9:3 13
3 Fulham W 4 4 0 0 12:2 12
4 Portsmouth W 4 3 0 1 10:1 9
5 AFC Wimbledon W 3 2 0 1 8:1 6
6 Real Bedford W 5 2 0 3 6:10 6
7 Lewes W 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
8 Exeter W 5 1 2 2 8:11 5
9 Hashtag W 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
10 Swindon W 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
11 Cheltenham W 5 0 1 4 6:17 1
12 Plymouth W 5 0 0 5 2:24 0
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