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Exeter W vs Oxford Utd W

England England

Women's National League South 2025/2026 St James Park, Exeter
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Women's National League South 2025/2026 game between Exeter W and Oxford Utd W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oxford Utd W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Exeter W
20%
Draws
60%
Oxford Utd W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oxford Utd W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oxford Utd W come out ahead of Exeter W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Oxford Utd W a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Women's National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Oxford Utd W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Exeter W Clean Sheet 10%
Oxford Utd W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter W Oxford Utd W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 20
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.9 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs Oxford Utd W
0:4
Mar 1, 2026 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs Oxford Utd W
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Women's National League South
Oxford Utd W vs Exeter W
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Women's National League South
Oxford Utd W vs Exeter W
0:1
Sep 15, 2024 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs Oxford Utd W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter W 10 / 100
Oxford Utd W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter W Oxford Utd W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oxford Utd W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Exeter W scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Exeter W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Oxford Utd W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Exeter W VS Oxford Utd W
1.5 Goals Scored 3
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter W

(Home)
20 Sept
Exeter W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
13 Sept
Cheltenham W
4 : 4
Exeter W
30 Aug
Exeter W
3 : 1
Lewes W
23 Aug
Hashtag W
1 : 1
Exeter W
16 Aug
Exeter W
0 : 4
Oxford Utd W
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Oxford Utd W

(Away)
20 Sept
Oxford Utd W
5 : 0
Plymouth W
13 Sept
Hashtag W
0 : 5
Oxford Utd W
30 Aug
Oxford Utd W
5 : 0
Cheltenham W
23 Aug
Oxford Utd W
3 : 0
Lewes W
16 Aug
Exeter W
0 : 4
Oxford Utd W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watford W 22 17 2 3 80:24 53
2 Plymouth W 22 16 4 2 61:11 52
3 Bournemouth W 22 14 4 4 61:20 46
4 Oxford Utd W 22 12 3 7 44:27 39
5 Lewes W 22 12 1 9 46:27 37
6 Real Bedford W 22 9 3 10 42:34 30
7 Exeter W 22 9 3 10 39:35 30
8 Cheltenham W 22 7 3 12 31:46 24
9 Hashtag W 22 6 5 11 34:38 23
10 AFC Wimbledon W 22 6 4 12 30:48 22
11 Gwalia United W 22 6 4 12 28:46 22
12 Billericay W 22 0 0 22 5:145 0
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