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Express FC vs BUL

Uganda Uganda

Premier League Hamz Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Ngobi P.
90' Event
Rwothomio C.

AI Match Summary

BUL in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored BUL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Express FC
39%
Draws
31%
BUL
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Express FC have won more games recently than BUL.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Express FC Clean Sheet 68%
BUL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Express FC BUL
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Premier League
Express FC vs BUL
0:2
Oct 30, 2025 Premier League
BUL vs Express FC
0:0
Feb 12, 2025 Premier League
Express FC vs BUL
0:2
Nov 21, 2024 Premier League
BUL vs Express FC
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Premier League
BUL vs Express FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Express FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

BUL Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngobi P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rwothomio C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Express FC 41 / 100
BUL 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Express FC BUL

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EXP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BUL has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Express FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Express FC scored in 44% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Express FC VS BUL
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vipers301910155:1767
2Kampala City30195646:2262
3Villa30187547:1761
4Kitara30168643:2256
5Entebbe UPPC30149730:2051
6NEC FC301312531:2251
7Police30138942:3547
8Maroons309111026:2738
9BUL309101130:3337
10Express FC309101128:3137
11Uganda Revenue30516927:3031
12Mbarara City30691526:4627
13Lugazi305101519:3625
14UPDF FC30571824:4122
15Calvary30491714:3921
16Buhimba30432316:6615