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Extremadura UD vs UD Logrones - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2021/2022 Estadio Francisco de la Hera, Almendralejo
Sun, Mar 20, 2022
0 - 2
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Extremadura UD host UD Logrones in the Primera RFEF - Group 1 2021/2022. UD Logrones are expected to control this from the start. UD Logrones have shipped 0.66 goals a game lately, while Extremadura UD have conceded 2.47 and scored 0.5. Head-to-head, Extremadura UD have won 1 to UD Logrones's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2022, ending 0:2. xG projections (0.79 - 1.43) back UD Logrones to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Extremadura UD
15%
Draws
85%
UD Logrones
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Logrones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Logrones come out ahead of Extremadura UD on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans UD Logrones's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Extremadura UD Clean Sheet 17%
UD Logrones Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Extremadura UD UD Logrones
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 23
Draws 2 6
Losses 26 3
Goals Scored 0.5 2.44
Goals Conceded 2.47 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Extremadura UD vs UD Logrones
0:2
Dec 12, 2021 Primera RFEF - Group 1
UD Logrones vs Extremadura UD
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Extremadura UD 10 / 100
UD Logrones 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Extremadura UD UD Logrones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Logrones Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Extremadura UD's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: UD Logrones conceded in 44% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS UD Logrones
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Extremadura UD

(Home)
29 May
Racing Santander
2 : 0
Extremadura UD
22 May
Extremadura UD
0 : 2
Real Union
15 May
Zamora
2 : 0
Extremadura UD
07 May
Extremadura UD
0 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
01 May
SD Logrones
2 : 0
Extremadura UD
Page 1 of 6

UD Logrones

(Away)
04 Oct
UD Logrones
2 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
27 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 5
UD Logrones
18 Sept
UD Logrones
1 : 1
Pontevedra
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
06 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
UD Logrones
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 38 25 7 6 61:31 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 38 22 8 8 59:29 74
3 Racing Club Ferrol 38 21 9 8 50:26 72
4 Rayo Majadahonda 38 19 5 14 50:47 62
5 UD Logrones 38 18 8 12 41:37 62
6 Celta Vigo B 38 17 10 11 60:46 61
7 Unionistas de Salamanca 38 16 13 9 55:37 61
8 Real Union 38 18 6 14 51:45 60
9 CD Badajoz 38 14 14 10 40:30 56
10 San Sebastian Reyes 38 15 8 15 40:41 53
11 CD Calahorra 38 14 10 14 48:43 52
12 Leonesa 38 12 13 13 61:55 49
13 SD Logrones 38 12 12 14 43:43 48
14 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 11 13 14 46:51 46
15 Ath Bilbao B 38 11 12 15 36:46 45
16 CF Talavera 38 11 9 18 39:54 42
17 Zamora 38 9 10 19 30:48 37
18 Valladolid Promesas 38 9 9 20 42:64 36
19 Tudelano 38 7 7 24 33:54 28
20 Extremadura UD 38 5 5 28 22:80 0
Promotion - LaLiga2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs 2021/2022 (Main)