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Ezcabarte vs Aoiz

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Ahechu A.
6' Event
Sanchez A.
35' Event
Diaz M.

AI Match Summary

Aoiz in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aoiz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Ezcabarte
35%
Draws
40%
Aoiz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aoiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Ezcabarte have won more games recently than Aoiz.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ezcabarte Clean Sheet 15%
Aoiz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ezcabarte Aoiz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.59 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Aoiz
1:3
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Ezcabarte
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ezcabarte Compare

Top Goalscorer Oteiza A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Aoiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahechu A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ezcabarte 30 / 100
Aoiz 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ezcabarte Aoiz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ezcabarte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ezcabarte scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Aoiz let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Ezcabarte has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ezcabarte VS Aoiz
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ezcabarte

(Home)
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
12 Sept
CD Beti Onak
1 : 1
Ezcabarte
05 Sept
Ezcabarte
4 : 0
Txantrea
14 Aug
AD San Juan
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
09 May
CD Beti Onak
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
Page 1 of 6

Aoiz

(Away)
18 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Aoiz
11 Sept
Aoiz
2 : 0
Doneztebe FT
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
09 May
Aoiz
1 : 4
Izarra
03 May
Ezcabarte
1 : 3
Aoiz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)