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Ezcabarte vs Oberena

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Agramonte M.
46' Event
Gonzalez J.
81' Event
Irujo N.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Ezcabarte and Oberena finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ezcabarte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ezcabarte
20%
Draws
80%
Oberena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oberena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ezcabarte come out ahead of Oberena on wins alone.
  • Model gives Oberena a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Ezcabarte Clean Sheet 17%
Oberena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ezcabarte Oberena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.43 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Oberena
4:1
Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Oberena vs Ezcabarte
0:0
Feb 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Oberena vs Ezcabarte
3:0
Oct 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Oberena
1:2
Mar 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Oberena
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ezcabarte Compare

Top Goalscorer Agramonte M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Oberena Compare

Top Goalscorer Mata A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ezcabarte 28 / 100
Oberena 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ezcabarte Oberena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oberena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ezcabarte found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Oberena conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Oberena registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ezcabarte VS Oberena
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ezcabarte

(Home)
14 Aug
AD San Juan
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
09 May
CD Beti Onak
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
03 May
Ezcabarte
1 : 3
Aoiz
25 Apr
Ezcabarte
3 : 4
CD Ardoi
18 Apr
Beti Kozkor
3 : 0
Ezcabarte
Page 1 of 6

Oberena

(Away)
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
03 May
Oberena
2 : 1
Txantrea
25 Apr
Pamplona
2 : 1
Oberena
19 Apr
Oberena
0 : 0
Cirbonero
10 Apr
CA Artajones
1 : 1
Oberena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)