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Ezcabarte vs Pena

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Rodriguez I.
32' Event
Gonzalez J.
76' Event
Lombardia P.

AI Match Summary

Ezcabarte in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ezcabarte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ezcabarte
20%
Draws
80%
Pena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pena lately — more wins on the board than Ezcabarte.
  • Model gives Pena a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Pena have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Ezcabarte Clean Sheet 10%
Pena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ezcabarte Pena
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 19
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.43 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Pena
2:1
Dec 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Ezcabarte
2:1
May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Ezcabarte
3:1
Jan 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Pena
0:2
Mar 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Pena
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ezcabarte Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lombardia P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Pena Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ezcabarte 10 / 100
Pena 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ezcabarte Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ezcabarte scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Pena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ezcabarte VS Pena
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ezcabarte

(Home)
14 Aug
AD San Juan
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
09 May
CD Beti Onak
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
03 May
Ezcabarte
1 : 3
Aoiz
25 Apr
Ezcabarte
3 : 4
CD Ardoi
18 Apr
Beti Kozkor
3 : 0
Ezcabarte
Page 1 of 6

Pena

(Away)
25 Aug
Erriberri
0 : 3
Pena
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
11 Aug
AD San Juan
1 : 1
Pena
09 May
CA Artajones
1 : 2
Pena
03 May
Pena
2 : 1
Subiza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)