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Match Events
AI Match Summary
Ezcabarte in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ezcabarte.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Pena lately — more wins on the board than Ezcabarte.
- Model gives Pena a 80% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Pena have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ezcabarte | Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 19 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ezcabarte Compare
Pena Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ezcabarte scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Pena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ezcabarte
(Home)Pena
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pena | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 65:39 | 77 |
| 2 | Pamplona | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 65:28 | 74 |
| 3 | Izarra | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 64:31 | 61 |
| 4 | Subiza | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 46:31 | 54 |
| 5 | AD San Juan | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 43:28 | 52 |
| 6 | Huarte | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 49:47 | 47 |
| 7 | Beti Kozkor | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Ezcabarte | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:49 | 45 |
| 9 | Cortes | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 37:51 | 44 |
| 10 | Cirbonero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 38:42 | 43 |
| 11 | Txantrea | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 52:67 | 43 |
| 12 | Valle Egues | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48:57 | 42 |
| 13 | Bidezarra | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:40 | 39 |
| 14 | Aoiz | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 41:49 | 36 |
| 15 | CD Beti Onak | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42:55 | 36 |
| 16 | CD Ardoi | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 46:56 | 36 |
| 17 | Oberena | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 32:61 | 31 |
| 18 | CA Artajones | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 36:61 | 31 |