Sport Picks

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Ezeiza vs Academia Control Orientado

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Wed, Jul 8, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ezeiza play Academia Control Orientado in the Torneo Promocional Amateur. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ezeiza averaged 1.03 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Academia Control Orientado averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Ezeiza won 2, Academia Control Orientado won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 2-2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Ezeiza and 0.82 for Academia Control Orientado. This points to a Academia Control Orientado double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ezeiza
25%
Draws
40%
Academia Control Orientado
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Academia Control Orientado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Ezeiza picked up more points recently compared to Academia Control Orientado.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.82 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ezeiza Clean Sheet 26%
Academia Control Orientado Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 48%
Second Half Goal 50%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ezeiza Academia Control Orientado
Matches Played 30 6
Wins 13 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 1
Goals Scored 1.03 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Ezeiza vs Academia Control Orientado
2-2
Apr 12, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Academia Control Orientado vs Ezeiza
2-2
Mar 12, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Ezeiza vs Academia Control Orientado
3-0
Feb 12, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Academia Control Orientado vs Ezeiza
1-2
Jan 12, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Ezeiza vs Academia Control Orientado
1-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ezeiza 37 / 100
Academia Control Orientado 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ezeiza Academia Control Orientado

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Academia Control Orientado or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +22.1%
3.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ezeiza attacking → ← attacking Academia Control Orientado

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ezeiza scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Academia Control Orientado let in goals in 67% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Ezeiza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Academia Control Orientado lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 11
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.14
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.71

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Deportivo Metalurgico650111:315
2Social Atletico Television65017:215
3Nautico Hacoaj63217:311
4Estrella de Berisso52215:48
5Defensores de Glew52129:77
6Provincial61143:94
7Atletico Pilar51044:63
8Juventud de Bernal50052:140
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barrancas85129:616
2Uribelarrea74217:314
3Academia Control Orientado63218:511
4Buenos Aires City72325:49
5Belgrano Zarate72323:39
6Everton La Plata72235:68
7Ezeiza61322:46
8Las Mandarinas72056:116
9Alumni Los Hornos71244:75