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Ezeiza vs Alumni Los Hornos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alumni Los Hornos in this Torneo Promocional Amateur matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alumni Los Hornos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ezeiza
15%
Draws
37%
Alumni Los Hornos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ezeiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ezeiza lately — more wins on the board than Alumni Los Hornos.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Ezeiza taking it.
  • Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ezeiza Clean Sheet 14%
Alumni Los Hornos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ezeiza Alumni Los Hornos
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 14 5
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.27 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Ezeiza vs Alumni Los Hornos
2:6
Jun 17, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Alumni Los Hornos vs Ezeiza
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ezeiza 48 / 100
Alumni Los Hornos 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ezeiza Alumni Los Hornos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ezeiza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Ezeiza's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Alumni Los Hornos let in goals in 75% of their last 16 matches.

Ezeiza has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ezeiza VS Alumni Los Hornos
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ezeiza

(Home)
18 Sept
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 0
Ezeiza
14 Sept
Ezeiza
1 : 5
Deportivo Metalurgico
07 Sept
Ezeiza
1 : 0
Buenos Aires City
30 Aug
Academia Control Orientado
0 : 1
Ezeiza
27 Aug
Las Mandarinas
0 : 2
Ezeiza
Page 1 of 6

Alumni Los Hornos

(Away)
07 Sept
Alumni Los Hornos
0 : 2
Uribelarrea
22 Aug
Las Mandarinas
1 : 2
Alumni Los Hornos
16 Aug
Alumni Los Hornos
0 : 0
Everton La Plata
12 Aug
Ezeiza
2 : 6
Alumni Los Hornos
09 Aug
Alumni Los Hornos
0 : 2
Barrancas
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Social Atletico Television 14 11 0 3 24:9 33
2 Defensores de Glew 14 10 2 2 37:8 32
3 Deportivo Metalurgico 14 10 2 2 32:10 32
4 Nautico Hacoaj 14 8 2 4 27:11 26
5 Estrella de Berisso 14 4 3 7 18:24 15
6 Atletico Pilar 14 2 3 9 11:24 9
7 Juventud de Bernal 14 2 2 10 10:41 8
8 Provincial 14 2 0 12 9:41 6
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barrancas 16 9 4 3 17:9 31
2 Uribelarrea 16 7 6 3 17:10 27
3 Ezeiza 16 7 5 4 18:17 26
4 Buenos Aires City 16 7 4 5 18:13 25
5 Belgrano Zarate 16 5 7 4 11:10 22
6 Alumni Los Hornos 16 5 3 8 17:20 18
7 Academia Control Orientado 16 5 3 8 15:20 18
8 Las Mandarinas 16 4 3 9 11:18 15
9 Everton La Plata 16 3 5 8 7:14 14
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)