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Ezeiza vs Belgrano Zarate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
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AI Match Summary

The Torneo Promocional Amateur game between Ezeiza and Belgrano Zarate finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ezeiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ezeiza
20%
Draws
38%
Belgrano Zarate
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ezeiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Belgrano Zarate haven't matched Ezeiza's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Ezeiza Clean Sheet 68%
Belgrano Zarate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ezeiza Belgrano Zarate
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 15
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.23 0.68
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Ezeiza vs Belgrano Zarate
3:1
Jun 28, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Belgrano Zarate vs Ezeiza
0:0
Sep 26, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Belgrano Zarate vs Ezeiza
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Ezeiza vs Belgrano Zarate
1:2
Aug 2, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Ezeiza vs Belgrano Zarate
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ezeiza 41 / 100
Belgrano Zarate 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ezeiza Belgrano Zarate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ezeiza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ezeiza scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Ezeiza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Belgrano Zarate conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ezeiza VS Belgrano Zarate
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ezeiza

(Home)
18 Sept
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 0
Ezeiza
14 Sept
Ezeiza
1 : 5
Deportivo Metalurgico
07 Sept
Ezeiza
1 : 0
Buenos Aires City
30 Aug
Academia Control Orientado
0 : 1
Ezeiza
27 Aug
Las Mandarinas
0 : 2
Ezeiza
Page 1 of 7

Belgrano Zarate

(Away)
07 Sept
Las Mandarinas
0 : 1
Belgrano Zarate
31 Aug
Belgrano Zarate
0 : 0
Everton La Plata
24 Aug
Ezeiza
3 : 1
Belgrano Zarate
16 Aug
Belgrano Zarate
0 : 0
Barrancas
12 Aug
Buenos Aires City
0 : 2
Belgrano Zarate
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Social Atletico Television 14 11 0 3 24:9 33
2 Defensores de Glew 14 10 2 2 37:8 32
3 Deportivo Metalurgico 14 10 2 2 32:10 32
4 Nautico Hacoaj 14 8 2 4 27:11 26
5 Estrella de Berisso 14 4 3 7 18:24 15
6 Atletico Pilar 14 2 3 9 11:24 9
7 Juventud de Bernal 14 2 2 10 10:41 8
8 Provincial 14 2 0 12 9:41 6
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barrancas 16 9 4 3 17:9 31
2 Uribelarrea 16 7 6 3 17:10 27
3 Ezeiza 16 7 5 4 18:17 26
4 Buenos Aires City 16 7 4 5 18:13 25
5 Belgrano Zarate 16 5 7 4 11:10 22
6 Alumni Los Hornos 16 5 3 8 17:20 18
7 Academia Control Orientado 16 5 3 8 15:20 18
8 Las Mandarinas 16 4 3 9 11:18 15
9 Everton La Plata 16 3 5 8 7:14 14
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)