Sport Picks
Ezeiza vs Estrella de Berisso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 
Match Events
42'
42'
Corbalan B.
75'
75'
Maccio H.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 game between Ezeiza and Estrella de Berisso finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ezeiza.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ezeiza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Estrella de Berisso haven't matched Ezeiza's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Ezeiza's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Ezeiza here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Ezeiza Clean Sheet 68%
Estrella de Berisso Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ezeiza | Estrella de Berisso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 21, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Ezeiza vs Estrella de Berisso
1:0
Aug 28, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Estrella de Berisso vs Ezeiza
1:2
Sep 30, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Estrella de Berisso vs Ezeiza
0:0
May 3, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Ezeiza vs Estrella de Berisso
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ezeiza Compare
Top Goalscorer Maccio H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Estrella de Berisso Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ezeiza 50 / 100
Estrella de Berisso 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ezeiza Estrella de Berisso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ezeiza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ezeiza scored in 61% of their last 33 games.
Estrella de Berisso let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Ezeiza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ezeiza VS Estrella de Berisso
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Ezeiza
(Home) 18 Sept
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 0 Ezeiza
14 Sept
Ezeiza
1 : 5 Deportivo Metalurgico
07 Sept
Ezeiza
1 : 0 Buenos Aires City
30 Aug
Academia Control Orientado
0 : 1 Ezeiza
27 Aug
Las Mandarinas
0 : 2 Ezeiza
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Ezeiza
1 : 5 Deportivo Metalurgico
07 Sept
Ezeiza
1 : 0 Buenos Aires City
24 Aug
Ezeiza
3 : 1 Belgrano Zarate
12 Aug
Ezeiza
2 : 6 Alumni Los Hornos
04 Aug
Ezeiza
0 : 0 Everton La Plata
Page 1 of 4
Estrella de Berisso
(Away) 07 Sept
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 3 Social Atletico Television
01 Sept
Juventud de Bernal
2 : 2 Estrella de Berisso
24 Aug
Estrella de Berisso
2 : 3 Nautico Hacoaj
17 Aug
Defensores de Glew
4 : 0 Estrella de Berisso
10 Aug
Estrella de Berisso
5 : 0 Provincial
Page 1 of 6
01 Sept
Juventud de Bernal
2 : 2 Estrella de Berisso
17 Aug
Defensores de Glew
4 : 0 Estrella de Berisso
02 Aug
Atletico Pilar
1 : 2 Estrella de Berisso
26 Jul
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 0 Estrella de Berisso
11 Jul
Social Atletico Television
4 : 0 Estrella de Berisso
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ezeiza | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Social Atletico Television | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 3 | Defensores de Glew | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23:12 | 17 |
| 4 | Belgrano Zarate | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Estrella de Berisso | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Atletico Pilar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4:19 | 6 |
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Metalurgico | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Barrancas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Nautico Hacoaj | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Everton La Plata | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 5 | Provincial | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:20 | 9 |
| 6 | Juventud de Bernal | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | 8 |
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 (Play Offs)
