Sport Picks
F. Karagumruk vs Alanyaspor
Turkey
Super Lig 2025/2026 Ataturk Olimpiyat, Istanbul 
Match Events
32'
32'
Elia M.
Assist: Hadergjonaj F.
48'
48'
Larsson S.
Assist: Kalayci B.
64'
64'
Sub
Ahmed T. In: Babicka S.
Out: Ahmed T.
AI Match Summary
F. Karagumruk in this Super Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored F. Karagumruk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alanyaspor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to F. Karagumruk lately — more wins on the board than Alanyaspor.
- F. Karagumruk are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Super Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 19%
Alanyaspor Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | F. Karagumruk | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 13 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Alanyaspor
2:1
Jan 13, 2026 Turkish Cup
Alanyaspor vs F. Karagumruk
2:2
Dec 21, 2025 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs F. Karagumruk
2:0
Feb 6, 2025 Turkish Cup
Alanyaspor vs F. Karagumruk
4:1
Feb 25, 2024 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Alanyaspor
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
F. Karagumruk Compare
Top Goalscorer Larsson S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Alanyaspor Compare
Top Goalscorer Elia M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
F. Karagumruk 42 / 100
Alanyaspor 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
F. Karagumruk Alanyaspor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
F. Karagumruk scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Alanyaspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.
Recent resilience: F. Karagumruk stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
F. Karagumruk VS Alanyaspor
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
F. Karagumruk
(Home) 19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2 F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Manisa FK
06 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
4 : 3 F. Karagumruk
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Kayserispor
29 Aug
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 1 F. Karagumruk
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Manisa FK
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Kayserispor
21 Aug
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Bursaspor
15 Aug
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Umraniyespor
16 May
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Alanyaspor
Page 1 of 3
Alanyaspor
(Away) 19 Sept
Corum FK
1 : 2 Alanyaspor
12 Sept
Alanyaspor
2 : 2 Goztepe
07 Sept
Rizespor
0 : 1 Alanyaspor
30 Aug
Eyupspor
2 : 1 Alanyaspor
23 Aug
Alanyaspor
1 : 0 Besiktas
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Corum FK
1 : 2 Alanyaspor
07 Sept
Rizespor
0 : 1 Alanyaspor
30 Aug
Eyupspor
2 : 1 Alanyaspor
15 Aug
Gaziantep
1 : 1 Alanyaspor
16 May
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Alanyaspor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77:30 | 77 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 77:37 | 74 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 61:39 | 69 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42:32 | 55 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 46:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46:52 | 41 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 43:50 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 26:38 | 37 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 41:41 | 37 |
| 12 | Gaziantep | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43:58 | 37 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:49 | 35 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 36:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:48 | 33 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 33:55 | 32 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 27:62 | 30 |
| 18 | F. Karagumruk | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:54 | 30 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)
