Sport Picks
F. Karagumruk vs Bursaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Turkey
1. Lig Yusuf Ziya Onis, Istanbul 
Match Events
8'
8'
Pesic A.
Assist: Cukur T.
17'
17'
Bayramov T.
32'
32'
Akbunar H.
AI Match Summary
F. Karagumruk in this 1. Lig matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored F. Karagumruk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bursaspor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bursaspor have won more games recently than F. Karagumruk.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Bursaspor taking it.
- Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 13%
Bursaspor Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | F. Karagumruk | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 20 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 1. Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Bursaspor
2:1
Oct 10, 2021 Club Friendly
F. Karagumruk vs Bursaspor
1:0
Jan 19, 2020 1. Lig
Bursaspor vs F. Karagumruk
2:1
Aug 17, 2019 1. Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Bursaspor
3:1
Feb 5, 2015 Turkish Cup
Bursaspor vs F. Karagumruk
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
F. Karagumruk Compare
Top Goalscorer Pesic A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Verde D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Bursaspor Compare
Top Goalscorer Iheanacho K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
F. Karagumruk 22 / 100
Bursaspor 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
F. Karagumruk Bursaspor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bursaspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
F. Karagumruk scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Recent resilience: F. Karagumruk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Bursaspor has conceded goals in 39% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
F. Karagumruk VS Bursaspor
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
F. Karagumruk
(Home) 03 Oct
Kasimpasa
2 : 1 F. Karagumruk
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2 F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Manisa FK
06 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
4 : 3 F. Karagumruk
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Kayserispor
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Manisa FK
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Kayserispor
21 Aug
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Bursaspor
15 Aug
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Umraniyespor
16 May
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Alanyaspor
Page 1 of 3
Bursaspor
(Away) 19 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
1 : 2 Bursaspor
13 Sept
Bursaspor
2 : 2 Erokspor
07 Sept
Manisa FK
1 : 2 Bursaspor
03 Sept
Bursaspor
4 : 0 Istanbulspor AS
29 Aug
Kayserispor
1 : 2 Bursaspor
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
1 : 2 Bursaspor
07 Sept
Manisa FK
1 : 2 Bursaspor
29 Aug
Kayserispor
1 : 2 Bursaspor
21 Aug
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Bursaspor
09 Aug
Bodrumspor
0 : 2 Bursaspor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 19 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Igdir FK | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 5 | Sariyer | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Keciorengucu | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 17:10 | 13 |
| 7 | Mardin 1969 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 12 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 | F. Karagumruk | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 10 | Muglaspor | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8:7 | 11 |
| 11 | Bandirmaspor | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:5 | 10 |
| 12 | Pendikspor | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Manisa FK | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 14 | Bodrumspor | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 15 | Sivasspor | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 17 | Erokspor | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4:10 | 5 |
| 18 | Istanbulspor AS | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:19 | 5 |
| 19 | Vanspor FK | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:17 | 4 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:20 | 1 |
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
